# El Nino Gives a Big Boost to Southern Plains Fall Precipitation

> October brought 2 to 6 or more inches of rain to much of the Southern Plains, with totals 150-400% of normal in many places. DTN expects well-above-normal precipitation to continue into early 2027 as a strong El Nino develops.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-05T15:12:10.345Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/81994-el-nino-gives-a-big-boost-to-southern-plains-fall-precipitation
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Wet conditions in the Southern Plains favor winter wheat establishment and pasture, but excessive rain can delay planting and harvest, supporting modest upside for wheat and livestock feed costs.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- KWHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-23 | [Chance of 'super El Niño' shouldn't change northern Plains growing season outlook - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20091-chance-of-super-el-nino-shouldn-t-change-northern-plains-growing-season-outlook.md) | +0.7% | +0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-17 | [Harvest plans critical for another big crop  \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40016-harvest-plans-critical-for-another-big-crop-the-land-nsw.md) | -10.0% | -10.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | -1.6% | +0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2020-03-19 | [Southern Brazil to get rain, U.S. soils remain saturated - McKeany-Flavell](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53979-southern-brazil-to-get-rain-u-s-soils-remain-saturated-mckeany-flavell.md) | -5.4% | -2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2024-02-07 | [Shift from El Nino to La Nina portends rains in Asia, dryness in Americas \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31585-shift-from-el-nino-to-la-nina-portends-rains-in-asia-dryness-in-americas-reuters.md) | -3.7% | -0.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-06-22 | [Wheat rallies tough to sustain, but El Niño, supply risks remain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18845-wheat-rallies-tough-to-sustain-but-el-nino-supply-risks-remain.md) | -5.1% | +12.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-04-05 | [Wheat production likely to be lower](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71542-wheat-production-likely-to-be-lower.md) | +1.9% | +6.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-02-02 | [Drought threatens U.S. wheat production despite acreage bump](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37378-drought-threatens-u-s-wheat-production-despite-acreage-bump.md) | +1.3% | -5.9% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2026/11/05/el-nino-gives-big-boost-southern

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.