# El Niño raises temperatures and demands attention for soybeans in Matopiba

> NOAA's Climate Prediction Center reports the El Niño is intensifying, with the Niño 3.4 anomaly at +2.47°C in October 2026 and an 83% chance of surpassing past events in the October-December quarter. In Matopiba, Brazil, low and irregular rainfall in September has left soil moisture insufficient for the start of the 2026/27 soybean planting.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-05T12:12:46.430Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/81692-el-nino-raises-temperatures-and-demands-attention-for-soybeans-in-matopiba
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Delayed or uneven planting and heat stress in Matopiba raise the risk of a smaller Brazilian soybean crop, supporting soybean and meal prices and tightening export availability.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2022-04-25 | [Corn, soybean planting in Illinois delayed by cold temperatures and rain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13373-corn-soybean-planting-in-illinois-delayed-by-cold-temperatures-and-rain.md) | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2017-08-14 | [The rain dilemma for U.S. corn, soybeans - Manitoba Co-operator](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69305-the-rain-dilemma-for-u-s-corn-soybeans-manitoba-co-operator.md) | +0.2% | +2.1% |
| SOY | 2021-03-18 | [Argentine farm heartland set for more high temperatures, limited rain - Manitoba Co-operator](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47977-argentine-farm-heartland-set-for-more-high-temperatures-limited-rain-manitoba.md) | +1.1% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2024-05-06 | [Rains in the South concern players; demand for soybean meal increases – Eita Gota](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6449-rains-in-the-south-concern-players-demand-for-soybean-meal-increases-eita-gota.md) | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| SOY | 2018-11-23 | [AgroPages-Brazil: El Niño alters the dynamics of pests and diseases, and demands attention from farmers-Agricultural news](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61882-agropages-brazil-el-nino-alters-the-dynamics-of-pests-and-diseases-and-demands.md) | +0.5% | +0.2% |
| SBM | 2024-05-06 | [Rains in the South concern players; demand for soybean meal increases – Eita Gota](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6449-rains-in-the-south-concern-players-demand-for-soybean-meal-increases-eita-gota.md) | +1.1% | -0.2% |
| SBM | 2018-11-23 | [AgroPages-Brazil: El Niño alters the dynamics of pests and diseases, and demands attention from farmers-Agricultural news](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61882-agropages-brazil-el-nino-alters-the-dynamics-of-pests-and-diseases-and-demands.md) | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| SBM | 2026-01-30 | [Soybean Futures Surge on Strong Meal Demand, Argentina Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21077-soybean-futures-surge-on-strong-meal-demand-argentina-weather.md) | +2.0% | +8.8% |

## Sources

- revistacultivar.com: https://revistacultivar.com/news/El-Ni%C3%B1o-raises-temperatures-and-demands-attention-for-soybeans-in-Matopiba.

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.