# Fewer Mexican Cattle, More Mexican Beef? - AG INFORMATION NETWORK OF THE WEST

> New University of Missouri research, published by farmdoc daily, models what happens if restrictions on Mexican feeder cattle imports, imposed in 2025 over New World screwworm, stay well below historical levels through 2031. The model projects higher U.S. cattle and beef prices than otherwise expected, even though Mexico could process more cattle domestically and sell more beef.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-05T09:14:46.948Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/81556-fewer-mexican-cattle-more-mexican-beef-ag-information-network-of-the-west
- Commodities: [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md), [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Lower feeder cattle imports tighten U.S. supply and support live cattle and beef prices, with the offset that Mexican beef output could grow and compete for U.S. demand over the longer term.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2021-10-26 | [New Cattle Feedlot Report Points to Shrinking Beef Cattle Herd - AG INFORMATION NETWORK OF THE WEST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44700-new-cattle-feedlot-report-points-to-shrinking-beef-cattle-herd-ag-information.md) | -0.8% | +3.9% |
| FCATTLE | 2024-02-14 | [Replacement Heifer and Cattle on Feed Trends Affecting Markets - AG INFORMATION NETWORK OF THE WEST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31815-replacement-heifer-and-cattle-on-feed-trends-affecting-markets-ag-information.md) | +1.4% | +0.9% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-04-23 | [Heavier cattle weights more than offset slower pace of slaughter to raise production \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11327-heavier-cattle-weights-more-than-offset-slower-pace-of-slaughter-to-raise.md) | +2.5% | +3.2% |
| FCATTLE | 2022-05-25 | [Cattle Supply and Demand Issues for the 2022 Marketing Year - Northern Ag Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5073-cattle-supply-and-demand-issues-for-the-2022-marketing-year-northern-ag-network.md) | +9.9% | +13.2% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-01-31 | [U.S. Beef Cattle Inventory Falls to the Lowest Level in 64 Years - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26447-u-s-beef-cattle-inventory-falls-to-the-lowest-level-in-64-years-agweb.md) | -5.9% | -2.5% |
| LCATTLE | 2021-10-26 | [New Cattle Feedlot Report Points to Shrinking Beef Cattle Herd - AG INFORMATION NETWORK OF THE WEST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44700-new-cattle-feedlot-report-points-to-shrinking-beef-cattle-herd-ag-information.md) | +2.3% | +7.3% |
| LCATTLE | 2024-02-14 | [Replacement Heifer and Cattle on Feed Trends Affecting Markets - AG INFORMATION NETWORK OF THE WEST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31815-replacement-heifer-and-cattle-on-feed-trends-affecting-markets-ag-information.md) | -0.0% | +2.3% |
| LCATTLE | 2019-03-18 | [Conaway Optimistic and WASDE Milk Forecast - AG INFORMATION NETWORK OF THE WEST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60253-conaway-optimistic-and-wasde-milk-forecast-ag-information-network-of-the-west.md) | -0.2% | -2.1% |

## Sources

- aginfo.net: https://www.aginfo.net/report/66544/California-Ag-Today/Fewer-Mexican-Cattle-More-Mexican-Beef-

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.