# What El Niño Is Doing to Shape NOAA's Latest Winter Outlook

> NOAA's U.S. winter outlook for December 2026 through February 2027 projects warmer-than-average conditions across the northern US and wetter conditions in the south and along the Eastern Seaboard. The article also notes a record-weak Atlantic hurricane season and that this El Niño may be the strongest on record.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-05T09:14:23.840Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/81552-what-el-nino-is-doing-to-shape-noaa-s-latest-winter-outlook
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Wetter southern US winter weather and improved drought conditions could ease stress on US winter crops and pastures. The direct price impact on feed commodities is limited at this stage.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2023-03-17 | [NOAA Spring Outlook: With La Niña Officially Over, What Does Spring Hold For the US? - SnowBrains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36763-noaa-spring-outlook-with-la-nina-officially-over-what-does-spring-hold-for-the.md) | -1.0% | +1.3% |
| CORN | 2017-08-14 | [What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? \| The Weather Channel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69375-what-does-lack-of-el-nino-la-nina-mean-for-winter-the-weather-channel.md) | -2.0% | -4.4% |
| CORN | 2018-10-22 | [Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62468-another-mild-winter-noaa-s-2018-19-winter-outlook-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -1.2% | -6.0% |
| CORN | 2024-06-13 | [El Niño is dead. Here’s what to expect in the coming months \| CNN](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29662-el-nino-is-dead-here-s-what-to-expect-in-the-coming-months-cnn.md) | -2.1% | -8.8% |
| CORN | 2019-11-25 | [Livestock Wx for 11-22-19: No El Niño, No La Niña, So What's Driving NOAA Outlooks? - Texas & Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55984-livestock-wx-for-11-22-19-no-el-nino-no-la-nina-so-what-s-driving-noaa-outlooks.md) | +1.6% | +2.4% |
| SOY | 2023-03-17 | [NOAA Spring Outlook: With La Niña Officially Over, What Does Spring Hold For the US? - SnowBrains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36763-noaa-spring-outlook-with-la-nina-officially-over-what-does-spring-hold-for-the.md) | -4.8% | +0.6% |
| SOY | 2018-10-22 | [Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62468-another-mild-winter-noaa-s-2018-19-winter-outlook-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -1.4% | +4.1% |
| SOY | 2020-06-14 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - June 2020 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52530-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-june-2020-climas.md) | +0.6% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- greenhousegrower.com: https://www.greenhousegrower.com/management/what-el-nino-is-doing-to-shape-noaas-latest-winter-outlook/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.