# Mato Grosso Faces Second-Driest Start to Growing Season in 27 Years as Lack of Rain Worries Producers

> Mato Grosso has recorded only 186 mm of rain between September 1 and October 27, a 33% deficit against the historical average of 276 mm. Soybean fields planted early are already showing effects of low soil moisture, and Aprosoja MT warns of risks to yield potential.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-05T06:11:34.206Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/81218-mato-grosso-faces-second-driest-start-to-growing-season-in-27-years-as-lack-of
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Mato Grosso is Brazil's largest soybean and corn producing state, so a dry start raises concerns about yield in the 2026/27 crop. Persistent dryness could tighten export supplies and support soybean meal and soybean prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2022-11-25 | [Irregular Rains and Dry Pockets Worry Farmers in Mato Grosso](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13686-irregular-rains-and-dry-pockets-worry-farmers-in-mato-grosso.md) | -0.4% | +2.2% |
| SOY | 2025-09-10 | [Low Soil Moisture in Mato Grosso May Delay Start of Soy Planting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13476-low-soil-moisture-in-mato-grosso-may-delay-start-of-soy-planting.md) | +3.8% | +1.0% |
| SOY | 2025-11-07 | [Lack of rain in Mato Grosso threatens the 2025/26 harvest - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13462-lack-of-rain-in-mato-grosso-threatens-the-2025-26-harvest-cultivar-magazine.md) | +3.7% | +1.2% |
| SOY | 2021-07-20 | [After second wave, patchy monsoon rains are raising growth and inflation worries for India](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46033-after-second-wave-patchy-monsoon-rains-are-raising-growth-and-inflation-worries.md) | -1.1% | -3.6% |
| SOY | 2022-08-31 | [World faces 'triple dip' La Nina, UN says - stoking ag market worries - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39963-world-faces-triple-dip-la-nina-un-says-stoking-ag-market-worries-grain-price.md) | -3.1% | -6.9% |
| SBM | 2023-08-28 | [India on track for lowest monsoon rains in 8 years -sources](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34477-india-on-track-for-lowest-monsoon-rains-in-8-years-sources.md) | -1.5% | -7.0% |
| SBM | 2021-05-29 | [Brazil on drought alert, faces worst dry spell in 91 years](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46926-brazil-on-drought-alert-faces-worst-dry-spell-in-91-years.md) | -0.8% | -11.3% |
| SBM | 2024-01-10 | [Severe weather punishes soybean production in Mato Grosso](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13597-severe-weather-punishes-soybean-production-in-mato-grosso.md) | +1.1% | -1.7% |

## Sources

- opovomt.com.br: https://opovomt.com.br/mato-grosso-enfrenta-segundo-inicio-de-safra-mais-seco-em-27-anos-e-falta-de-chuva-preocupa-produtores/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.