# EUR/USD Forecast: Bulls eye breakout above 1.1270, range top

> EUR/USD traded near 1.1265 in Asian trade, gaining for a second day as the US dollar fell to its lowest since late September after a Democratic sweep in the US midterms. Eurozone annual headline inflation rose to 4.0% in October, a three-year high, boosting bets on a 25 bps ECB rate hike in December.

- Date: 2026-11-05 · published 2026-11-05T06:07:45.466Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/81146-eur-usd-forecast-bulls-eye-breakout-above-1-1270-range-top
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

A weaker dollar and expected ECB tightening support the euro, which lowers the dollar cost of euro-denominated import demand and may modestly firm US dollar-priced commodities. A breakout above the one-month range would strengthen that signal, while French debt and political concerns cap gains.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2025-11-25 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Advances as US data, dovish Fed signal rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22154-eur-usd-forecast-advances-as-us-data-dovish-fed-signal-rate-cut.md) | +0.7% | +2.2% |
| EURUSD | 2023-12-14 | [US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Rally Persists Following Fed and ECB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8303-us-dollar-forecast-eur-usd-rally-persists-following-fed-and-ecb.md) | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| EURUSD | 2021-07-30 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate Climbs To Three-Week High On Disappointing US GDP](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46297-eur-usd-forecast-euro-us-dollar-exchange-rate-climbs-to-three-week-high-on.md) | -0.4% | -1.1% |
| EURUSD | 2024-07-29 | [EUR/USD extends upside above 1.0850, eyes on Eurozone GDP, Fed rate decision — Octa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29487-eur-usd-extends-upside-above-1-0850-eyes-on-eurozone-gdp-fed-rate-decision-octa.md) | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| EURUSD | 2024-06-12 | [EUR/USD rallies above 1.0800 after soft US Inflation vitalize Fed rate-cut bets for September](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10801-eur-usd-rallies-above-1-0800-after-soft-us-inflation-vitalize-fed-rate-cut-bets.md) | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| DXY | 2025-11-25 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Advances as US data, dovish Fed signal rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22154-eur-usd-forecast-advances-as-us-data-dovish-fed-signal-rate-cut.md) | -0.6% | -1.8% |
| DXY | 2023-12-14 | [US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Rally Persists Following Fed and ECB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8303-us-dollar-forecast-eur-usd-rally-persists-following-fed-and-ecb.md) | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| DXY | 2021-07-30 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate Climbs To Three-Week High On Disappointing US GDP](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46297-eur-usd-forecast-euro-us-dollar-exchange-rate-climbs-to-three-week-high-on.md) | +0.3% | +1.2% |

## Sources

- fxstreet.com: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eur-usd-price-forecast-bulls-await-breakout-above-11270-resistance-range-top-202611050421

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.