# Dollar: market rules out a sharp devaluation, what does it expect for year-end?

> The BCRA's market expectations survey (REM) projects the official peso rate rising about 2% monthly, reaching roughly 1,630 by December. Analysts do not expect a sharp devaluation before year-end, and inflation is seen staying below 2%.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-05T03:11:06.577Z
- Category: macro · region Argentina · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/81052-dollar-market-rules-out-a-sharp-devaluation-what-does-it-expect-for-year-end
- Commodities: [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A gradual peso path reduces the risk of abrupt Argentine currency shifts affecting soymeal and soyoil export pricing. The effect on global feed prices is limited.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBM | 2020-04-24 | [Rush to black-market dollars as economic woes mount \| Buenos Aires Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53900-rush-to-black-market-dollars-as-economic-woes-mount-buenos-aires-times.md) | +0.3% | -2.1% |
| SBM | 2025-04-18 | [First week without the cepo: dollar rises and falls, impact on prices remains unclear - Buenos Aires Herald](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25433-first-week-without-the-cepo-dollar-rises-and-falls-impact-on-prices-remains.md) | -1.6% | -2.0% |
| SBM | 2022-08-02 | [Argentina’s Cash Needed to Avert Devaluation is Drying Up](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40324-argentina-s-cash-needed-to-avert-devaluation-is-drying-up.md) | +1.9% | -2.0% |
| SBM | 2024-08-30 | [Spot dollar closes higher for the 5th session despite interventions by the Central Bank \| Brasil 247](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29018-spot-dollar-closes-higher-for-the-5th-session-despite-interventions-by-the.md) | +3.0% | +4.7% |
| SBM | 2026-04-02 | [Animal feed, fats and proteins: Market outlook and supply chain dynamics – webinar summary - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19832-animal-feed-fats-and-proteins-market-outlook-and-supply-chain-dynamics-webinar.md) | -0.3% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- newsdigitales.com: https://www.newsdigitales.com/nota/344109/dolar-el-mercado-descarta-una-devaluacion-brusca-que-espera-para-fin-de-ano/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.