# El Nino could impact potential crop yields in Brazil - Iowa Agribusiness Radio Network

> Allendale commodity broker Greg McBride said El Niño could damage the US corn crop and reduce Brazil's projected record soybean crop. Analysts expect a bumper Brazilian crop, which could further weaken demand for US grain once China finishes its purchases of US soybeans.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-05T00:14:42.029Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/80770-el-nino-could-impact-potential-crop-yields-in-brazil-iowa-agribusiness-radio
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Possible El Niño damage to Brazilian soybeans and US corn is a supply risk that could partly offset expected record Brazilian output and support prices, though the expected bumper crop keeps the overall outlook bearish for US grain demand.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2023-06-16 | [FACTBOX: Mapping El Nino's impact on crop yields, global food trade in 2023-24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35405-factbox-mapping-el-nino-s-impact-on-crop-yields-global-food-trade-in-2023-24.md) | +4.6% | +3.9% |
| SOY | 2025-04-21 | [El Nino shift: Impact on crop futures and global agricultural outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25021-el-nino-shift-impact-on-crop-futures-and-global-agricultural-outlook.md) | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| SOY | 2021-08-27 | [Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45432-potential-brazil-corn-and-soybean-production-in-2021-22.md) | -6.5% | -6.0% |
| SOY | 2024-05-07 | [Rain Slowing Crop Progress in Iowa - Morning Ag Clips](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30303-rain-slowing-crop-progress-in-iowa-morning-ag-clips.md) | -2.4% | -4.5% |
| SOY | 2018-09-27 | [Spotty Corn and Soybean Yields \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62878-spotty-corn-and-soybean-yields-red-river-farm-network.md) | +1.4% | +0.0% |
| CORN | 2019-03-22 | [Weather-related issues impact grain market \| Iowa Agribusiness Radio Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9644-weather-related-issues-impact-grain-market-iowa-agribusiness-radio-network.md) | -1.9% | -4.8% |
| CORN | 2021-01-19 | [Timely Rains Help Brazil Crops, Dry Conditions Remain in Argentina \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48978-timely-rains-help-brazil-crops-dry-conditions-remain-in-argentina-red-river.md) | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| CORN | 2025-04-21 | [El Nino shift: Impact on crop futures and global agricultural outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25021-el-nino-shift-impact-on-crop-futures-and-global-agricultural-outlook.md) | -0.1% | -5.5% |

## Sources

- iowaagribusinessradionetwork.com: https://iowaagribusinessradionetwork.com/el-nino-could-impact-potential-crop-yields-in-brazil/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.