# Ukraine's grain stocks could reach a record 36 mln tons — USDA/FAS

> USDA/FAS forecasts Ukrainian ending stocks of major grains could reach a record 36.1 million tonnes in 2026/27, driven by severe export restrictions from Black Sea shipping risks. Corn exports are seen falling about 54% to 10.2 million tonnes and wheat exports about 38% to 8.7 million tonnes, while production rises to the highest since 2021/22.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T21:11:24.975Z
- Category: report · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/80511-ukraine-s-grain-stocks-could-reach-a-record-36-mln-tons-usda-fas
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Large Ukrainian stocks trapped by shipping disruption weaken export demand for Ukrainian corn and wheat, a bearish factor for world prices offset by reduced Black Sea supply availability. Export losses shift demand toward other origins.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2017-09-25 | [Friday’s Grain Stocks report could shake prices \| Feedstuffs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68983-friday-s-grain-stocks-report-could-shake-prices-feedstuffs.md) | +0.1% | +1.1% |
| CORN | 2017-05-22 | [Grain exports set to hit record high: USDA - Splash247](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71200-grain-exports-set-to-hit-record-high-usda-splash247.md) | +1.0% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2026-06-19 | [Russia and Ukraine’s grain ambitions face a wartime stress test \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14106-russia-and-ukraine-s-grain-ambitions-face-a-wartime-stress-test-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.8% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2021-03-22 | [Why these USDA reports could lead to big grain price swings](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48143-why-these-usda-reports-could-lead-to-big-grain-price-swings.md) | +10.7% | +12.5% |
| CORN | 2025-07-11 | [PF Reaction to USDA Reports \| USDA cuts old-, new-crop corn ending stocks - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23714-pf-reaction-to-usda-reports-usda-cuts-old-new-crop-corn-ending-stocks-pro-farmer.md) | -0.7% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-06-10 | [Corn stocks cut in USDA WASDE report - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46509-corn-stocks-cut-in-usda-wasde-report-grainews.md) | +5.7% | -5.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-19 | [Russia and Ukraine’s grain ambitions face a wartime stress test \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14106-russia-and-ukraine-s-grain-ambitions-face-a-wartime-stress-test-feed-and-grain.md) | -1.6% | +1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-11 | [Ukraine: Seasonal Grain Exports Near 3 Million Tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14371-ukraine-seasonal-grain-exports-near-3-million-tons.md) | -1.5% | -7.4% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/ukraines-grain-stocks-could-reach-a-record-36-mln-tons-usda-fas/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.