# Poland's 2026 grain harvest: latest EU data falls below GUS estimates | Analysis

> The European Commission's late-October update puts Polish grain output at about 33.5 million tonnes, 4.5% below the five-year average and below the earlier GUS estimate of 35.5 million tonnes. The EU figures are lower mainly for soft wheat, rye and maize.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T18:14:34.461Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/80174-poland-s-2026-grain-harvest-latest-eu-data-falls-below-gus-estimates-analysis
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Polish crop tightens EU feed grain supply, supporting corn and wheat prices and raising import needs for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-04-26 | [Smaller US maize harvest hikes prices \| Analysis & Features \| The Grocer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10866-smaller-us-maize-harvest-hikes-prices-analysis-and-features-the-grocer.md) | +1.5% | +4.7% |
| CORN | 2026-09-22 | [European grain harvest in 2026 expected to be down 9% year on year \| AGENCE EUROPE](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17426-european-grain-harvest-in-2026-expected-to-be-down-9-year-on-year-agence-europe.md) | -1.6% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2018-07-27 | [World grain harvest reduced in latest stats - Farmers Weekly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64070-world-grain-harvest-reduced-in-latest-stats-farmers-weekly.md) | +0.9% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2024-10-15 | [September estimate indicates harvest decrease of 6.4% in 2024 \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13542-september-estimate-indicates-harvest-decrease-of-6-4-in-2024-news-agency.md) | -0.1% | +2.6% |
| CORN | 2020-08-21 | [Pro Farmer Estimates National Corn and Soybeans Yields Below USDA Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51456-pro-farmer-estimates-national-corn-and-soybeans-yields-below-usda-forecasts.md) | +3.5% | +11.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-26 | [EU and UK Grain Harvest 2026: Decrease in Volumes Expected](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21434-eu-and-uk-grain-harvest-2026-decrease-in-volumes-expected.md) | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2020-05-08 | [SA’s harvest estimate for 2019-20 tops at 6.5Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53073-sa-s-harvest-estimate-for-2019-20-tops-at-6-5mt-grain-central.md) | -2.3% | -0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-27 | [European Commission estimates significantly lower wheat harvest - Grains & Commodities Analysis \| Boerenbusiness. Nl](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20109-european-commission-estimates-significantly-lower-wheat-harvest-grains-and.md) | -0.3% | +0.9% |

## Sources

- agroprofil.pl: https://agroprofil.pl/wiadomosci/zbiory-zboz-w-polsce-2026-dane-ke-vs-gus/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.