# Fertiliser prices firm as nitrogen supply concerns mount

> AHDB's latest UK market assessment shows fertiliser prices largely unchanged, with granular urea averaging £482/t and UK-produced ammonium nitrate at £486/t. Rising European gas prices linked to the Middle East conflict are raising nitrogen production costs. Frontier warned gas-reliant plants could cut output.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T15:11:29.365Z
- Category: geopolitics · region UK · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79965-fertiliser-prices-firm-as-nitrogen-supply-concerns-mount
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Higher gas costs and possible plant curtailments tighten nitrogen supply, which keeps nitrate and urea prices firm into early 2027 and raises feed-grain production costs.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2022-02-25 | [Nitrogen Fertilizer Jumps by Record on Russian Supply Concerns - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43019-nitrogen-fertilizer-jumps-by-record-on-russian-supply-concerns-bloomberg.md) | +24.9% | +38.4% |
| UREA | 2022-05-06 | [Prices of Most Fertilizers Continue Rise, as Wheat Prices Climb on Supply Concerns \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9741-prices-of-most-fertilizers-continue-rise-as-wheat-prices-climb-on-supply.md) | +0.4% | -17.1% |
| UREA | 2026-02-13 | [Fertilizer prices rise on supply chain issues](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20532-fertilizer-prices-rise-on-supply-chain-issues.md) | +0.1% | +31.0% |
| UREA | 2022-08-23 | [Fertiliser supply tightens as gas price rises further - Farmers Weekly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5142-fertiliser-supply-tightens-as-gas-price-rises-further-farmers-weekly.md) | +20.2% | +13.7% |
| UREA | 2026-05-06 | [Nutrien posts higher profit as prices rise, flags tight nitrogen supply \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19582-nutrien-posts-higher-profit-as-prices-rise-flags-tight-nitrogen-supply-reuters.md) | -4.5% | -27.3% |

## Sources

- fwi.co.uk: https://www.fwi.co.uk/business/markets-and-trends/input-prices/fertiliser-prices-firm-as-nitrogen-supply-concerns-mount

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.