# Middle East and midterms driving the dollar

> The dollar index held near 101.8 on Tuesday before falling about 0.4% after Democrats were projected to win both chambers of Congress. Oil was volatile after the White House confirmed limited strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island, with Brent settling near $104 as Qatar-mediated talks continued.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T15:09:13.396Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79921-middle-east-and-midterms-driving-the-dollar
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

Dollar moves and Iran-driven crude swings feed into energy costs and feedstock margins, and a Democratic sweep reduces fiscal stimulus expectations that would otherwise support the dollar.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- WTI: neutral
- BRENT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2024-09-30 | [US Dollar Forecast: Fed’s easing weighs on the Dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28507-us-dollar-forecast-fed-s-easing-weighs-on-the-dollar.md) | +0.9% | +3.1% |
| DXY | 2018-07-30 | [Rand gains ground against the dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64323-rand-gains-ground-against-the-dollar.md) | +0.2% | +0.7% |
| DXY | 2025-04-17 | [Trade Wars and the U.S. Dollar \| PIMCO](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25333-trade-wars-and-the-u-s-dollar-pimco.md) | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| DXY | 2026-01-29 | [What the sinking U.S. dollar means to Canada and world](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21288-what-the-sinking-u-s-dollar-means-to-canada-and-world.md) | +0.6% | +0.3% |
| DXY | 2020-11-27 | [Yuan keeps on appreciating against both the dollar and the euro](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50362-yuan-keeps-on-appreciating-against-both-the-dollar-and-the-euro.md) | -1.2% | -1.5% |
| BRENT | 2017-09-29 | [Arab News \| Middle East OPEC producers fret oil price rally may burn out](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69122-arab-news-middle-east-opec-producers-fret-oil-price-rally-may-burn-out.md) | -1.8% | +1.6% |
| BRENT | 2021-07-13 | [Ringgit opens slightly lower against US dollar \| Malay Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46331-ringgit-opens-slightly-lower-against-us-dollar-malay-mail.md) | -9.2% | -8.7% |
| BRENT | 2022-10-30 | [U.S. Dollar's Recovery Can Be Extended \| Investing.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39331-u-s-dollar-s-recovery-can-be-extended-investing-com.md) | +4.0% | -12.3% |

## Sources

- ca.investing.com: https://ca.investing.com/analysis/middle-east-and-midterms-driving-the-dollar-200629021

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.