# The market adjusts its projections again: what it expects for the dollar and the surplus at the close of 2026 - El Cronista

> Economists in El Cronista's monthly expectations survey cut their 2026 activity growth forecast to just above 1%. They expect the retail dollar to close 2026 slightly above 1,600 pesos and expect a primary fiscal surplus for a third consecutive year.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T12:09:54.411Z
- Category: macro · region Argentina · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79640-the-market-adjusts-its-projections-again-what-it-expects-for-the-dollar-and-the
- Commodities: [Argentine Peso (ARS per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDARS.md)

## Why it matters

A forecast for a weaker peso and slower growth points to higher local input costs for Argentine feed buyers. The survey reflects expectations rather than a new policy or supply shock.

## Read by commodity

- USDARS: bullish ▲

## Sources

- cronista.com: https://www.cronista.com/economia-politica/el-mercado-vuelve-a-ajustar-sus-proyecciones-que-espera-para-el-dolar-y-el-superavit/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.