# El Nino may keep global rice prices elevated until Q1 2027

> Experts expect global rice prices to stay elevated through the current quarter and Q1 2027 as El Niño threatens paddy output in South and Southeast Asia. Export offers have risen by $20 a tonne from India and Pakistan and $30 from Thailand and Vietnam since July, with prices near a two-year high.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T09:13:19.221Z
- Category: weather · region Asia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79546-el-nino-may-keep-global-rice-prices-elevated-until-q1-2027
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced rainfall in key Asian rice regions tightens supply and supports rice prices, which can raise costs for feed buyers using rice by-products and push substitution toward corn and wheat.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2023-09-28 | [Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33997-risks-to-global-food-commodity-prices-from-el-nino.md) | -3.3% | -0.3% |
| RICE | 2024-04-05 | [High rice inflation could linger until July as market prices keep going up](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10813-high-rice-inflation-could-linger-until-july-as-market-prices-keep-going-up.md) | +4.1% | +12.2% |
| RICE | 2026-05-01 | [Most models predict El Nino may last until January 2027: IMD - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19189-most-models-predict-el-nino-may-last-until-january-2027-imd-the.md) | +8.1% | +16.8% |
| RICE | 2026-06-25 | [El Nino Nerves Nudge Vietnam’s Rice Prices Higher - Finimize](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18871-el-nino-nerves-nudge-vietnam-s-rice-prices-higher-finimize.md) | -0.5% | +9.3% |
| RICE | 2023-07-14 | [Indian rice prices up 10% in global market, affect export demand - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5097-indian-rice-prices-up-10-in-global-market-affect-export-demand-the.md) | -16.0% | -15.2% |

## Sources

- thehindubusinessline.com: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/agri-business/el-nino-may-keep-global-rice-prices-elevated-until-q1-2027/article71664205.ece

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.