# El Niño's farm impact to peak in early 2027 — DA | Daily Tribune

> The Philippine Department of Agriculture warned El Niño could hit local farms hardest in the first half of 2027, with rice production losses now projected at up to one million metric tons, up from 700,000. Officials said reduced rainfall would limit planting areas for rainfed farms, with damage possibly extending to corn, vegetables and livestock.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T06:12:47.024Z
- Category: weather · region Southeast Asia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79261-el-nino-s-farm-impact-to-peak-in-early-2027-da-daily-tribune
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Philippine rice shortfall would tighten regional supply and could lift international rice prices. Feed buyers should watch corn and livestock exposure, although the agency says current stocks are sufficient.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2023-07-07 | [Malaysia forecasts peak of El Niño to hit in early 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34966-malaysia-forecasts-peak-of-el-nino-to-hit-in-early-2024.md) | +1.4% | -13.7% |
| RICE | 2023-06-16 | [FACTBOX: Mapping El Nino's impact on crop yields, global food trade in 2023-24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35405-factbox-mapping-el-nino-s-impact-on-crop-yields-global-food-trade-in-2023-24.md) | -0.2% | -13.4% |
| RICE | 2026-04-13 | [IMD Forecasts Below Normal South West Monsoon Rainfall in 2026, El Niño to Impact India’s Kharif Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19635-imd-forecasts-below-normal-south-west-monsoon-rainfall-in-2026-el-nino-to.md) | +2.8% | +9.5% |
| RICE | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | -2.0% | +18.1% |
| RICE | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | +2.4% | +6.7% |
| CORN | 2026-10-04 | [2026-2027 El Niño food security impacts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17050-2026-2027-el-nino-food-security-impacts.md) | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2025-09-15 | [Flip to El Nino in 2026 Increasingly Confident - Climate Impact Company](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22794-flip-to-el-nino-in-2026-increasingly-confident-climate-impact-company.md) | +5.1% | +2.8% |

## Sources

- tribune.net.ph: https://tribune.net.ph/2026/11/04/el-ni%C3%B1os-farm-impact-to-peak-in-early-2027-da

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.