# Rain advances, but drought still hampers planting

> Forecasts from Ampere Meteorologia show rain spreading over the South and part of Central Brazil this week, but unevenly. Soil moisture in Matopiba is below 20% with no improvement expected, while parts of Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, Minas Gerais and Mato Grosso do Sul remain below 60% storage, and some southern areas face excess water.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T06:11:21.518Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79252-rain-advances-but-drought-still-hampers-planting
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Dry soil in Matopiba keeps soybean planting risky in the north, while excess rain in the South could slow machinery work and planting. Mixed conditions add weather uncertainty to Brazil's soybean and corn supply outlook, a modest supportive factor for soy and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2024-10-22 | [Drought opens “rain hunting” in Central-West](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13539-drought-opens-rain-hunting-in-central-west.md) | -0.7% | +2.9% |
| SOY | 2022-10-28 | [Third straight drought is upending key Argentine planting season \| Buenos Aires Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14004-third-straight-drought-is-upending-key-argentine-planting-season-buenos-aires.md) | +3.2% | +3.9% |
| SOY | 2018-03-05 | [Argentina drought bakes crops, sparks grain price rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65847-argentina-drought-bakes-crops-sparks-grain-price-rally.md) | -3.0% | -2.4% |
| SOY | 2020-11-30 | [Drought Continues to Hamper Brazil's Corn, Soybean Growing Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50007-drought-continues-to-hamper-brazil-s-corn-soybean-growing-season.md) | -2.4% | +5.3% |
| SOY | 2022-04-25 | [Corn, soybean planting in Illinois delayed by cold temperatures and rain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13373-corn-soybean-planting-in-illinois-delayed-by-cold-temperatures-and-rain.md) | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| CORN | 2025-07-04 | [Rain Eases Drought in Parts of Midwest, But Heat Adds Stress](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13076-rain-eases-drought-in-parts-of-midwest-but-heat-adds-stress.md) | -6.0% | -6.0% |
| CORN | 2026-03-31 | [Wheat Prices Surge on US Drought and Planting Uncertainty](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20207-wheat-prices-surge-on-us-drought-and-planting-uncertainty.md) | -1.0% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2025-12-30 | [Impact of Rain and Drought on December Grain Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13822-impact-of-rain-and-drought-on-december-grain-prices.md) | +0.0% | -2.1% |

## Sources

- agrolink.com.br: https://www.agrolink.com.br/noticias/chuva-avanca--mas-seca-ainda-dificulta-o-plantio_520541.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.