# World Bank Projects Sharp Rise in Global Rice Prices Through 2027

> The World Bank expects international rice prices to keep rising in 2026 and 2027 due to El Niño-related weather, with global output possibly falling 2% in 2026/27. It projects the Thai 5% price at $448 per tonne in 2026 and $500 in 2027, up 21% from its April forecasts.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T06:06:10.606Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79158-world-bank-projects-sharp-rise-in-global-rice-prices-through-2027
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A projected first output decline in a decade and higher reference prices point to tighter rice supply and firmer feed-grade broken rice costs.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2017-05-31 | [U.S. rice prices could be headed higher in 2017-18](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71084-u-s-rice-prices-could-be-headed-higher-in-2017-18.md) | -0.8% | +0.9% |
| RICE | 2023-07-14 | [Indian rice prices up 10% in global market, affect export demand - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5097-indian-rice-prices-up-10-in-global-market-affect-export-demand-the.md) | -16.0% | -15.2% |
| RICE | 2023-09-28 | [Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33997-risks-to-global-food-commodity-prices-from-el-nino.md) | -3.3% | -0.3% |
| RICE | 2023-09-07 | [‘Major disruptor’: El Niño threatens the world’s rice supplies \| Global development \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34004-major-disruptor-el-nino-threatens-the-world-s-rice-supplies-global-development.md) | -3.8% | -6.6% |
| RICE | 2023-08-02 | [Rice prices soar on back of India’s export ban](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12039-rice-prices-soar-on-back-of-india-s-export-ban.md) | +0.3% | +4.4% |

## Sources

- ricenewstoday.com: https://ricenewstoday.com/world-bank-projects-sharp-rise-in-global-rice-prices-through-2027/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.