# US Dollar Strengthens, Rupiah at Risk of Falling to Rp18,250

> Analysts said the rupiah remained pressured by a firmer US dollar and rising US 10-year Treasury yields, near 4.95-4.96%. If the dollar index and yields rise further, the rupiah could test Rp18,250 per dollar. The spread between Indonesian 10-year government bonds and US Treasuries was about 276 basis points.

- Date: 2026-11-04 · published 2026-11-04T03:10:38.353Z
- Category: macro · region Indonesia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/79047-us-dollar-strengthens-rupiah-at-risk-of-falling-to-rp18-250
- Commodities: [Indonesian Rupiah (IDR per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDIDR.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

A weaker rupiah raises the cost of imported feed ingredients and can push up domestic feed prices, especially if the currency moves past Rp18,250.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- USDIDR: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2024-09-16 | [US dollar strengthens ahead of expected Fed rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28508-us-dollar-strengthens-ahead-of-expected-fed-rate-cut.md) | -0.2% | +1.1% |
| DXY | 2024-10-25 | [US dollar forecast to continue strengthening against dong](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28167-us-dollar-forecast-to-continue-strengthening-against-dong.md) | +0.2% | +2.4% |
| DXY | 2018-02-02 | [Oil prices fall as US stock market slumps and dollar strengthens](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66659-oil-prices-fall-as-us-stock-market-slumps-and-dollar-strengthens.md) | +1.7% | +1.8% |
| DXY | 2025-11-17 | [Dollar strengthens as traders await return of U.S. data \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22148-dollar-strengthens-as-traders-await-return-of-u-s-data-reuters.md) | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| DXY | 2025-01-10 | [Rand Tumbles Above 19 as Dollar Strengthens on US Jobs Data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26805-rand-tumbles-above-19-as-dollar-strengthens-on-us-jobs-data.md) | +0.1% | -0.7% |

## Sources

- money.kompas.com: https://money.kompas.com/read/2026/11/04/085400126/dollar-as-menguat-rupiah-berisiko-tertekan-hingga-rp-18.250

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.