# MAPA Confirms Dryland Cereal Yield Drops of Up to 31% in 2026: All the Yields

> Spain's Ministry of Agriculture (MAPA) reports, based on the September ESYRCE survey, that rainfed soft wheat and two-row barley yields fell 25% versus 2025 and rye fell 31%. Irrigated maize rose 3%, sugar beet 7%, and irrigated olive oil yield 24%.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-04T01:37:50.882Z
- Category: report · region Spain · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/78948-mapa-confirms-dryland-cereal-yield-drops-of-up-to-31-in-2026-all-the-yields
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A roughly quarter drop in Spanish rainfed wheat and barley yields tightens EU feed grain supply and supports prices, with Spain likely needing more imports. The effect is meaningful but limited to Spanish dryland crops.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-06 | [USDA drops a bombshell and the markets explode - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11634-usda-drops-a-bombshell-and-the-markets-explode-grain-central.md) | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-01-27 | [COCERAL in its first forecast for 2026 expects a decrease in the grain harvest in Europe.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20990-coceral-in-its-first-forecast-for-2026-expects-a-decrease-in-the-grain-harvest.md) | +0.6% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-25 | [MARS lowered yield forecasts for wheat, corn and rapeseed for the EU](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29697-mars-lowered-yield-forecasts-for-wheat-corn-and-rapeseed-for-the-eu.md) | -2.1% | +4.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-18 | [New Season Wheat Yield In The EU To Grow](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71428-new-season-wheat-yield-in-the-eu-to-grow.md) | +1.0% | -0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-22 | [UK harvest yields continue to disappoint](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17842-uk-harvest-yields-continue-to-disappoint.md) | -0.4% | +2.5% |
| CORN | 2020-10-06 | [USDA drops a bombshell and the markets explode - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11634-usda-drops-a-bombshell-and-the-markets-explode-grain-central.md) | +2.6% | +6.8% |
| CORN | 2019-07-26 | [All Eyes on Crop Development in the Heartland](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57926-all-eyes-on-crop-development-in-the-heartland.md) | -2.2% | -10.6% |
| CORN | 2026-06-11 | [COCERAL advanced the forecast for the wheat harvest in the EU and UK in 2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18757-coceral-advanced-the-forecast-for-the-wheat-harvest-in-the-eu-and-uk-in-2026.md) | +0.4% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- agronewscastillayleon.com: https://www.agronewscastillayleon.com/rendimientos-cultivos-espana-2026-informe-esyrce-mapa/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.