# U.S.–China Soybean Deal: Comparing Past Export Levels and Global Market Impacts - Center for Commercial Agriculture

> The US-China trade deal ends the suspension of soybean imports and commits China to buy 12 million metric tons of US soybeans in the last two months of 2025 and at least 25 million tons annually through 2028. The article notes near-zero US exports to China over six months amid retaliatory measures. Even if met, 2025 US sales to China would be about 33% below 2024.

- Date: 2025-11-14 · published 2025-11-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region China · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/7893-u-s-china-soybean-deal-comparing-past-export-levels-and-global-market-impacts
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Committed Chinese purchases restore a major export outlet for US soybeans, but volumes remain below 2024 levels, leaving Brazil and Argentina competitive in global trade.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2024-12-23 | [U.S. soybean meal reaches record exports, driven by increased crush capacity and global demand - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11402-u-s-soybean-meal-reaches-record-exports-driven-by-increased-crush-capacity-and.md) | +0.8% | +8.4% |
| SOY | 2020-07-16 | [Higher Chinese feed demand boosts US corn and soybean exports - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52129-higher-chinese-feed-demand-boosts-us-corn-and-soybean-exports-agweek-1-source.md) | +1.5% | +0.5% |
| SOY | 2023-10-24 | [China – U.S. Agriculture Companies Sign 11 Purchase Contracts/Agreements - U.S. Soybean Export Council](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14807-china-u-s-agriculture-companies-sign-11-purchase-contracts-agreements-u-s.md) | -0.3% | +6.3% |
| SOY | 2020-04-24 | [China buying more US beef and soybeans - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53504-china-buying-more-us-beef-and-soybeans-agweek-1-source-for-agriculture-news.md) | +1.3% | -0.5% |
| SOY | 2016-11-28 | [Soybeans rise 1.2 percent on strong U.S. exports, weaker dollar - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73899-soybeans-rise-1-2-percent-on-strong-u-s-exports-weaker-dollar-agweek-1-source.md) | -1.8% | -5.4% |
| SBM | 2025-05-19 | [Soybean market changing for North Dakota farmers, but China and tariffs still loom large - Agweek \| #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24729-soybean-market-changing-for-north-dakota-farmers-but-china-and-tariffs-still.md) | +0.8% | -0.3% |
| SBM | 2019-03-14 | [Europe Buys More U.S. Soybeans as Exports to China Plunge - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8268-europe-buys-more-u-s-soybeans-as-exports-to-china-plunge-caixin-global.md) | +3.8% | +3.3% |
| SBM | 2019-06-25 | [China’s US soybean and pork imports down 55.3 per cent due to trade war, African swine fever \| South China Morning Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58593-china-s-us-soybean-and-pork-imports-down-55-3-per-cent-due-to-trade-war-african.md) | -4.0% | -3.5% |

## Sources

- ag.purdue.edu: https://ag.purdue.edu/commercialag/home/resource/2025/11/u-s-china-soybean-deal-comparing-past-export-levels-and-global-market-impacts/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.