# India faces prolonged food inflation as weak monsoon threatens winter crops

> Below-average monsoon rains have left many Indian farmers, especially in southern and western states, short of soil moisture and water for planting winter crops. In Maharashtra's Jalna district, rainfall was about 48% below average this year. Farmers are struggling to sow wheat and chickpeas.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-04T00:55:47.525Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/78901-india-faces-prolonged-food-inflation-as-weak-monsoon-threatens-winter-crops
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced winter wheat planting would tighten Indian domestic grain supplies and could raise import demand and prices, while prolonged food inflation could push policymakers toward more export restrictions.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-11-01 | [Wheat Price Surge Threatens to Speed Up Food Inflation - TT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7314-wheat-price-surge-threatens-to-speed-up-food-inflation-tt.md) | +9.3% | +8.1% |
| WHEAT | 2018-03-13 | [Drought threat intensifies for U.S. Plains winter wheat crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66052-drought-threat-intensifies-for-u-s-plains-winter-wheat-crop.md) | -1.6% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-23 | [Wild weather sparking food inflation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5718-wild-weather-sparking-food-inflation.md) | -0.1% | -4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-01-20 | [Winter crops in fair to good condition, but frost tolerance remains weakly developed - Agroportal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37713-winter-crops-in-fair-to-good-condition-but-frost-tolerance-remains-weakly.md) | -2.9% | +0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-30 | [U.S. grains: Winter wheat jumps as crop conditions drop - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67013-u-s-grains-winter-wheat-jumps-as-crop-conditions-drop-grainews.md) | +2.0% | +2.0% |

## Sources

- japantimes.co.jp: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/11/03/asia-pacific/society/india-food-inflation/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
