# What USDA's final condition ratings say about corn and soybean yield expectations - Pro Farmer

> USDA's final crop condition ratings showed 56% of corn and 57% of soybeans rated good to excellent. Pro Farmer regression analysis links those ratings to final yields, suggesting corn could land near 177.8 bushels per acre, below the 181.2 currently forecast.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-03T21:12:58.341Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/78441-what-usda-s-final-condition-ratings-say-about-corn-and-soybean-yield
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

If the regression holds, USDA's corn yield forecast looks high, which would tighten supply expectations and could support corn prices into the January report. The effect on soybeans is less clear from the text.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-08-21 | [Pro Farmer Estimates National Corn and Soybeans Yields Below USDA Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51456-pro-farmer-estimates-national-corn-and-soybeans-yields-below-usda-forecasts.md) | +3.5% | +11.2% |
| CORN | 2025-05-12 | [Report Snapshot \| Corn, soybean ending stocks well below expectations - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24605-report-snapshot-corn-soybean-ending-stocks-well-below-expectations-pro-farmer.md) | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2024-08-23 | [How Pro Farmer's 2024 Yield Estimates Compare to USDA Expectations - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13162-how-pro-farmer-s-2024-yield-estimates-compare-to-usda-expectations-agweb.md) | +0.2% | +6.1% |
| CORN | 2023-08-11 | [USDA Lowers Corn and Soybean Yields and Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12250-usda-lowers-corn-and-soybean-yields-and-production.md) | -1.6% | -2.3% |
| CORN | 2023-06-23 | [Corn Ratings and Final Yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13273-corn-ratings-and-final-yields.md) | -8.6% | -15.1% |
| SOY | 2024-03-08 | [PF Report Reaction: USDA cuts global ending stocks for corn, soybeans, wheat and cotton - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31133-pf-report-reaction-usda-cuts-global-ending-stocks-for-corn-soybeans-wheat-and.md) | +2.1% | +2.4% |
| SOY | 2025-02-11 | [USDA Defies Expectations, Holds Corn and Soybean Ending Stocks Steady](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25987-usda-defies-expectations-holds-corn-and-soybean-ending-stocks-steady.md) | -1.0% | -4.9% |
| SOY | 2023-08-25 | [Here’s How Pro Farmer's 2023 Yield Estimates Stack Up to USDA Expectations - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13256-here-s-how-pro-farmer-s-2023-yield-estimates-stack-up-to-usda-expectations-agweb.md) | -0.4% | -5.1% |

## Sources

- profarmer.com: https://www.profarmer.com/news/what-usdas-final-condition-ratings-say-about-corn-and-soybean-yield-expectations

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.