# US winter wheat condition, November 1 - Grain Price News

> The USDA's first assessment of the 2027 US winter wheat harvest rated 44% of the crop good or excellent across 18 states. Individual states ranged from 25% in Oklahoma and Washington to 85% in California.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-03T21:06:54.450Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/78382-us-winter-wheat-condition-november-1-grain-price-news
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

The rating came in well below the roughly 50% analysts expected in a Reuters poll, pointing to weaker-than-expected crop prospects for HRW wheat, which could support wheat prices and feed-grain substitution costs.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: neutral
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2017-12-29 | [November all wheat average price increases \| World-grain.com \| December 29, 2017 14:39 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67514-november-all-wheat-average-price-increases-world-grain-com-december-29-2017-14.md) | +2.5% | +6.2% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-03-22 | [Global Winter Wheat Condition a Mixed Bag - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65938-global-winter-wheat-condition-a-mixed-bag-u-s-wheat-associates.md) | -1.0% | +6.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-10-24 | [Canada lifts grain price forecasts, as it upgrades wheat export hopes - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39181-canada-lifts-grain-price-forecasts-as-it-upgrades-wheat-export-hopes-grain.md) | -2.5% | -1.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-08-17 | [USDA slashes global wheat production - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45538-usda-slashes-global-wheat-production-grain-central.md) | -4.4% | -6.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2024-10-31 | [CBOT wheat firms again on worse than expected winter wheat conditions - AgriInsite](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27899-cbot-wheat-firms-again-on-worse-than-expected-winter-wheat-conditions-agriinsite.md) | -0.3% | -8.6% |
| WTI | 2024-02-01 | [Grain Transportation Report, February 1, 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31832-grain-transportation-report-february-1-2024.md) | -2.6% | +3.6% |
| WTI | 2022-11-03 | [EIA: What's Behind the Rapid Increases in Diesel Prices? - Fuels Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7919-eia-what-s-behind-the-rapid-increases-in-diesel-prices-fuels-market-news.md) | -4.7% | -9.9% |
| WTI | 2020-02-25 | [Where OPEC+ Oil Production Stands Now](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54527-where-opec-oil-production-stands-now.md) | -9.0% | -54.6% |

## Sources

- grainpricenews.com: https://grainpricenews.com/2026/11/03/us-winter-wheat-condition-november-1/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.