# When Chaos Is the Market's Focus, Cattle Market Fundamentals Don't Matter

> USDA Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins said the US will not reopen the border to Mexican cattle while New World screwworm remains a threat, which initially supported prices. A later report that President Trump was very interested in reopening the border triggered a sharp selloff, with December live cattle down $4.42 and January feeders down $7.30 on Tuesday.

- Date: 2025-11-05 · published 2025-11-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/7819-when-chaos-is-the-market-s-focus-cattle-market-fundamentals-don-t-matter
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Uncertainty over reopening Mexican feeder cattle imports creates swings in futures, and the market reaction shows how quickly headlines can override tight-supply fundamentals.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bearish ▼
- LCATTLE: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2025-11-05 | 5 | -6.2% | -3.6 | A report that Trump was keen to reopen the Mexican border triggered a sharp selloff, with January feeders down $7.30 on Nov 4, despite Rollins' earlier supportive comments. |
| LCATTLE | 2025-11-06 | 5 | -5.0% | -3.6 | Report that Trump was interested in reopening the Mexican border triggered a sharp selloff (Dec live cattle -$4.42 on Nov 4), squarely within the 5-day window, through supply-expectation and sentiment effects. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2025-11-03 | [Feeder market softens as demand for cattle weakens \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7820-feeder-market-softens-as-demand-for-cattle-weakens-the-western-producer.md) | -4.7% | -10.3% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-10-24 | [Fears of Mexico border reopening cap a brutal week for the cattle market - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22526-fears-of-mexico-border-reopening-cap-a-brutal-week-for-the-cattle-market-pro.md) | -1.3% | -8.3% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-05-01 | [Cattle markets react to China’s retaliatory tariffs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25272-cattle-markets-react-to-china-s-retaliatory-tariffs.md) | +0.3% | +2.0% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-11-24 | [Softness persists in US cattle markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6867-softness-persists-in-us-cattle-markets.md) | -3.1% | +4.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-11-03 | [Cattle markets react to proposed tariff changes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7813-cattle-markets-react-to-proposed-tariff-changes.md) | -4.7% | -10.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-11-03 | [Feeder market softens as demand for cattle weakens \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7820-feeder-market-softens-as-demand-for-cattle-weakens-the-western-producer.md) | -3.7% | -5.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-10-24 | [Fears of Mexico border reopening cap a brutal week for the cattle market - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22526-fears-of-mexico-border-reopening-cap-a-brutal-week-for-the-cattle-market-pro.md) | -4.4% | -6.2% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-05-01 | [Cattle markets react to China’s retaliatory tariffs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25272-cattle-markets-react-to-china-s-retaliatory-tariffs.md) | +0.6% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2025/11/05/chaos-markets-focus-cattle-market

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.