# Fewer feeder cattle from Mexico would mean tighter US supply and dearer beef, FAPRI finds

> University of Missouri FAPRI projections compare a recovery in Mexican feeder cattle imports with prolonged low imports after New World screwworm restrictions. In the low-import case, the US would receive significantly fewer feeder cattle from Mexico between 2027 and 2031.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-03T15:41:25.050Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/78026-fewer-feeder-cattle-from-mexico-would-mean-tighter-us-supply-and-dearer-beef
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Fewer feeder cattle would tighten US supply, lifting feeder, fed cattle and beef prices and raising feedlot costs. Rebuilding herds takes time, so price pressure could persist.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2026-01-23 | [Cattle-on-Feed Report Shows Tighter Supply Ahead - RFD](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21189-cattle-on-feed-report-shows-tighter-supply-ahead-rfd.md) | +1.1% | +6.1% |
| LCATTLE | 2019-12-19 | [Cattle and beef: Where to from here?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55547-cattle-and-beef-where-to-from-here.md) | +0.9% | +3.9% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-07-20 | [USDA Outlook Highlights Tight Cattle Supplies and Strong Beef Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18489-usda-outlook-highlights-tight-cattle-supplies-and-strong-beef-prices.md) | -1.4% | -2.8% |
| LCATTLE | 2021-07-27 | [Fed cattle show strength, beef supply declines – Delco Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46240-fed-cattle-show-strength-beef-supply-declines-delco-times.md) | -0.2% | +3.2% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-07-28 | [US cattle futures rise on record-low herd, tight supply - CME
						 \| The Beef Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23895-us-cattle-futures-rise-on-record-low-herd-tight-supply-cme-the-beef-site.md) | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-01-23 | [Cattle-on-Feed Report Shows Tighter Supply Ahead - RFD](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21189-cattle-on-feed-report-shows-tighter-supply-ahead-rfd.md) | +1.5% | +1.2% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-07-20 | [USDA Outlook Highlights Tight Cattle Supplies and Strong Beef Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18489-usda-outlook-highlights-tight-cattle-supplies-and-strong-beef-prices.md) | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| FCATTLE | 2021-07-27 | [Fed cattle show strength, beef supply declines – Delco Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46240-fed-cattle-show-strength-beef-supply-declines-delco-times.md) | -2.4% | -2.5% |

## Sources

- agronewstoday.com: https://agronewstoday.com/article/mexico-cattle-import-cut-raise-us-beef-prices-fapri

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.