# EXPLAINER: El Niño, Nigeria's next climate test

> El Niño is strengthening and could become exceptionally intense toward the end of 2026, with effects extending into 2027, according to the WMO. A University of Chicago Climate Impact Lab report projects 31,400 additional heat-related deaths in Nigeria between September 2026 and February 2027.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-03T15:16:54.042Z
- Category: weather · region Nigeria · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/77972-explainer-el-nino-nigeria-s-next-climate-test
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The article is mainly about public health and climate risk in Nigeria rather than commodity supply, so its price implications for feed markets are limited to a general signal of possible drought or heat stress on West African crops and livestock.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-06-14 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - June 2020 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52530-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-june-2020-climas.md) | +0.4% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2018-10-19 | [Southwest Climate Outlook El Niño Tracker - October 2018 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62474-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2018-climas.md) | -2.9% | -6.2% |
| CORN | 2017-05-19 | [El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. \| Climate Change](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70915-el-nino-again-this-is-why-it-s-hard-to-tell-climate-change.md) | +1.3% | +2.6% |
| CORN | 2020-04-30 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - April 2020 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53555-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-april-2020-climas.md) | +1.9% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2019-10-16 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - October 2019 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56494-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2019-climas.md) | -1.2% | -1.8% |
| SOY | 2020-06-14 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - June 2020 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52530-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-june-2020-climas.md) | +0.6% | +0.6% |
| SOY | 2018-10-19 | [Southwest Climate Outlook El Niño Tracker - October 2018 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62474-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2018-climas.md) | -2.5% | +2.9% |
| SOY | 2019-10-16 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - October 2019 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56494-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2019-climas.md) | +0.0% | -3.0% |

## Sources

- premiumtimesng.com: https://www.premiumtimesng.com/health/health-features/922363-explainer-el-nino-nigerias-next-climate-test.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.