# The city anticipates a hotter summer for the dollar price

> Financial analysts expect growing pressure on Argentina's exchange rate from weak economic activity, higher wholesale inflation, lower export dollar inflows after harvest, and the approaching presidential elections. They also cite the 9% fall of Brazil's real after Lula's re-election and seasonal year-end dollar demand.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-03T15:12:32.542Z
- Category: macro · region Argentina · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/77907-the-city-anticipates-a-hotter-summer-for-the-dollar-price
- Commodities: [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Argentine Peso (ARS per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDARS.md), [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

Expected peso depreciation would raise Argentina's import costs for feed and other inputs, while a weaker real tightens competition for Argentine exporters.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- USDARS: bullish ▲
- USDBRL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBM | 2024-08-30 | [Spot dollar closes higher for the 5th session despite interventions by the Central Bank \| Brasil 247](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29018-spot-dollar-closes-higher-for-the-5th-session-despite-interventions-by-the.md) | +3.0% | +4.7% |
| SBM | 2025-04-18 | [First week without the cepo: dollar rises and falls, impact on prices remains unclear - Buenos Aires Herald](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25433-first-week-without-the-cepo-dollar-rises-and-falls-impact-on-prices-remains.md) | -1.6% | -2.0% |
| SBM | 2017-09-03 | [Argentina's Mauricio Macri puts bad days in the rearview mirror, but a familiar foe looms](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69215-argentina-s-mauricio-macri-puts-bad-days-in-the-rearview-mirror-but-a-familiar.md) | +1.9% | +5.4% |
| SBM | 2024-07-16 | [Argentina’s new bid to ‘sterilize’ peso emissions lowers parallel dollar rates… now what? - Buenos Aires Herald](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29583-argentina-s-new-bid-to-sterilize-peso-emissions-lowers-parallel-dollar-rates.md) | +2.6% | -3.5% |
| SBM | 2024-10-30 | [Argentina's Milei Taps Unseasonal Source in Search of Dollars: Shock Therapy \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28129-argentina-s-milei-taps-unseasonal-source-in-search-of-dollars-shock-therapy.md) | -0.8% | -4.8% |
| USDBRL | 2024-09-12 | [Brazilian market has firm prices and new area cut in the summer corn crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13549-brazilian-market-has-firm-prices-and-new-area-cut-in-the-summer-corn-crop.md) | -2.9% | -1.2% |
| USDBRL | 2023-09-08 | [Why the US Fed's interest rate pause is a win for dollar bulls \| The National](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34010-why-the-us-fed-s-interest-rate-pause-is-a-win-for-dollar-bulls-the-national.md) | -2.2% | +4.1% |
| USDBRL | 2024-08-30 | [Spot dollar closes higher for the 5th session despite interventions by the Central Bank \| Brasil 247](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29018-spot-dollar-closes-higher-for-the-5th-session-despite-interventions-by-the.md) | -0.8% | -3.6% |

## Sources

- sonde.ar: https://www.sonde.ar/article/the-city-anticipates-a-hotter-summer-for-the-dollar-price
- sonde.ar: https://www.sonde.ar/articulo/la-city-anticipa-un-verano-mas-caliente-para-el-precio-de-dolar-15625

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.