# US Crop Intelligence — Winter Wheat Opens at 44% Good or Excellent as Southern Plains Lag

> The first USDA condition assessment for the winter wheat crop rates 44% of the national crop good or excellent, with Oklahoma and Texas showing poor establishment. Corn harvest reached 74% and soybean harvest 88%, while sorghum harvest lags sharply in Nebraska and Kansas.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-03T15:06:48.903Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/77839-us-crop-intelligence-winter-wheat-opens-at-44-good-or-excellent-as-southern
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Poor Southern Plains wheat establishment raises the risk of lower HRW output next year, which can support wheat prices. Sorghum harvest delays in the central Plains may tighten near-term feed sorghum availability.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2018-03-13 | [Drought threat intensifies for U.S. Plains winter wheat crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66052-drought-threat-intensifies-for-u-s-plains-winter-wheat-crop.md) | -7.6% | +2.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-05-12 | [Wheat Extends Gains as Poor Weather Worsens US Crop Conditions - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10790-wheat-extends-gains-as-poor-weather-worsens-us-crop-conditions-bloomberg.md) | -2.3% | -13.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-01-30 | [U.S. grains: Winter wheat jumps as crop conditions drop - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67013-u-s-grains-winter-wheat-jumps-as-crop-conditions-drop-grainews.md) | +1.9% | +7.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-01-11 | [Small U.S. Winter Wheat Crop Likely - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61148-small-u-s-winter-wheat-crop-likely-proag.md) | +1.1% | -0.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-06-29 | [Wheat surges on weather concerns in Plains - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9719-wheat-surges-on-weather-concerns-in-plains-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +15.0% | +4.2% |
| CORN | 2025-10-31 | [Winter crop sowing is proceeding at a rapid pace in France](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22337-winter-crop-sowing-is-proceeding-at-a-rapid-pace-in-france.md) | -0.4% | +2.7% |
| CORN | 2019-11-04 | [Winter Weather Outlook for 2019-2020 \| Integrated Crop Management](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55982-winter-weather-outlook-for-2019-2020-integrated-crop-management.md) | +0.9% | +1.4% |
| CORN | 2021-10-25 | [November and Winter Weather Outlooks for 2021 \| Integrated Crop Management](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44468-november-and-winter-weather-outlooks-for-2021-integrated-crop-management.md) | +3.5% | +9.0% |

## Sources

- bloodstonecapital.co.uk: https://www.bloodstonecapital.co.uk/research/journal/us-crop-intelligence-2026-11-03

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.