# Maílson da Nóbrega says dollar could reach R$7

> Former finance minister Maílson da Nóbrega said an artificial cut in the Selic could trigger capital flight and push the dollar to between R$6 and R$7. He was responding to a proposal by André Lara Resende to coordinate fiscal and monetary policy so rates could fall gradually. He warned the measure could compromise economic stability.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-03T12:08:35.128Z
- Category: macro · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/77535-mailson-da-nobrega-says-dollar-could-reach-r-7
- Commodities: [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

If capital flight pushes the real toward R$6 to R$7 per dollar, Brazilian buyers would face sharply higher costs for dollar-priced feed ingredients and fertilizers. The forecast is a warning about risk rather than a confirmed policy move.

## Read by commodity

- USDBRL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| USDBRL | 2016-11-16 | [Dollar bulls have room to run on Trump win, euro could reach parity with dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9133-dollar-bulls-have-room-to-run-on-trump-win-euro-could-reach-parity-with-dollar.md) | -2.6% | -3.3% |
| USDBRL | 2018-08-23 | [Here’s how Jackson Hole could impact the dollar, bonds and emerging markets - MarketWatch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63695-here-s-how-jackson-hole-could-impact-the-dollar-bonds-and-emerging-markets.md) | +1.2% | +0.2% |
| USDBRL | 2025-12-23 | [Real slides on election fears, seasonal dollar outflows](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21717-real-slides-on-election-fears-seasonal-dollar-outflows.md) | -1.4% | -5.0% |
| USDBRL | 2022-11-10 | [EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil's real sinks 4%, other FX rally on dollar weakness](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38888-emerging-markets-brazil-s-real-sinks-4-other-fx-rally-on-dollar-weakness.md) | +6.0% | +1.7% |
| USDBRL | 2018-08-22 | [Dollar enters sixth day on upward streak - ANBA News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12513-dollar-enters-sixth-day-on-upward-streak-anba-news-agency.md) | +3.3% | +3.0% |

## Sources

- timesbrasil.com.br: https://timesbrasil.com.br/brasil/dolar-pode-chegar-a-r-7-com-reducao-artificial-da-selic-diz-ex-ministro-da-fazenda/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.