# World Bank: Rice Prices to Climb in 2026-2027 on El Niño Supply Risks - News and Statistics - IndexBox

> FranceAgriMer's rice market note cites World Bank projections that international rice prices will keep rising in 2026 and 2027 due to El Niño weather. Global rice output could fall 2% in 2026/27, the first decline in ten years. The Thai 5% reference price is forecast at $448/t in 2026 and $500/t in 2027, up 21% from April forecasts.

- Date: 2026-11-03 · published 2026-11-03T12:05:45.191Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/77489-world-bank-rice-prices-to-climb-in-2026-2027-on-el-nino-supply-risks-news-and
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

A shrinking global rice supply and rising Thai benchmark prices lift feed-rice and broken-rice costs for buyers. Price pressure could intensify if major exporters impose export restrictions, as occurred in the 2023-2024 El Niño episode.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2024-01-05 | [Global food prices fell in 2023 compared to 2022, except for sugar and rice \| PBS News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6743-global-food-prices-fell-in-2023-compared-to-2022-except-for-sugar-and-rice-pbs.md) | +1.4% | +8.9% |
| RICE | 2022-12-09 | [Cocoa, rice, sugar 'to rank among rare commodity gainers in 2023' - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38307-cocoa-rice-sugar-to-rank-among-rare-commodity-gainers-in-2023-grain-price-news.md) | -0.7% | +5.3% |
| RICE | 2026-07-15 | [2026 rice acreage and supply comments \| UC Rice Blog](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9566-2026-rice-acreage-and-supply-comments-uc-rice-blog.md) | +8.1% | +5.9% |
| RICE | 2026-06-05 | [FAO Cereal Price Index rises in May \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18850-fao-cereal-price-index-rises-in-may-world-grain.md) | -1.5% | +3.4% |
| RICE | 2024-01-05 | [World food price index ends 2023 some 10% below 2022 levels](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6744-world-food-price-index-ends-2023-some-10-below-2022-levels.md) | +1.4% | +8.9% |

## Sources

- indexbox.io: https://www.indexbox.io/blog/world-bank-projects-sharp-rise-in-global-rice-prices-through-2027/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.