# 3 trends shaping the ag economy in 2027

> An agricultural economist, Wesley Davis of Meridian Agribusiness Advisors, projects 2026 US net cash farm income at $176.4 billion, the second-highest on record. Market income has fallen roughly 34% from its 2022 peak, and $47.4 billion of the total comes from federal payments. Cotton, rice and some specialty crops face weaker export demand, while Brazilian farmers contend with credit constraints and high interest rates.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-03T03:14:00.433Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/76956-3-trends-shaping-the-ag-economy-in-2027
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Growing reliance on government payments rather than market income signals weaker underlying farm demand for feed and inputs heading into 2027. Falling export opportunities for some US crops could add pressure to domestic prices for those commodities.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-07-12 | [How bad is the Chinese economy?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12304-how-bad-is-the-chinese-economy.md) | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| CORN | 2024-04-18 | [How the strong U.S. dollar is rippling through the world economy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12559-how-the-strong-u-s-dollar-is-rippling-through-the-world-economy.md) | -0.4% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2026-08-01 | [Economist sees growing risk for tighter feeder cattle margins in 2027](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18480-economist-sees-growing-risk-for-tighter-feeder-cattle-margins-in-2027.md) | -0.6% | +10.8% |
| CORN | 2023-11-03 | [FX: Dollar to defy seasonal trends \| articles \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11460-fx-dollar-to-defy-seasonal-trends-articles-ing-think.md) | +1.0% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2018-02-19 | [Federal Reserve Ag Credit Surveys- 2017 Fourth Quarter Farm Economy Conditions in the Midwest - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66353-federal-reserve-ag-credit-surveys-2017-fourth-quarter-farm-economy-conditions.md) | -0.1% | +4.4% |
| SOY | 2024-07-12 | [How bad is the Chinese economy?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12304-how-bad-is-the-chinese-economy.md) | -3.9% | -11.6% |
| SOY | 2024-04-18 | [How the strong U.S. dollar is rippling through the world economy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12559-how-the-strong-u-s-dollar-is-rippling-through-the-world-economy.md) | +1.4% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2023-11-03 | [FX: Dollar to defy seasonal trends \| articles \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11460-fx-dollar-to-defy-seasonal-trends-articles-ing-think.md) | +1.8% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- agnavigator.com: https://www.agnavigator.com/Article/2026/11/02/3-trends-shaping-the-ag-economy-in-2027/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.