# CPC's 2 November Deck: Niño 1+2 at 4.6 °C as RONI Reaches 1.7 °C

> NOAA's Climate Prediction Center kept its El Niño Advisory on 2 November 2026, reporting weekly sea surface temperature departures of 2.5 °C in Niño 3.4 and 4.6 °C in Niño 1+2. It puts the chance of a strong-to-very strong event through January–March 2027 above 83%.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-03T00:45:46.306Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/76783-cpc-s-2-november-deck-nino-1-2-at-4-6-c-as-roni-reaches-1-7-c
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Fishmeal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FISHMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A strengthening El Niño raises the odds of drought in Australia, Southeast Asia and southern Africa and of wetter conditions in South America's south, which can tighten grain, oilseed and palm supplies and lift feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲
- FISHMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2016-11-16 | [GIEWS Country Brief: Philippines 16-November-2016 - Philippines \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12240-giews-country-brief-philippines-16-november-2016-philippines-reliefweb.md) | +2.5% | +3.3% |
| CORN | 2024-09-27 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28231-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2024.md) | +2.2% | +1.0% |
| CORN | 2025-09-22 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22791-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2025.md) | -0.4% | -1.1% |
| CORN | 2025-10-21 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for November-December-January 2025-2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22313-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-november-december-january-2025-2026.md) | +1.0% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2024-10-10 | [US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november.md) | -2.6% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-22 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for October-November-December 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22791-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-october-november-december-2025.md) | +0.7% | +1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-10 | [November 2022 La Niña update: Let’s get some exercise \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38576-november-2022-la-nina-update-let-s-get-some-exercise-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +1.3% | -8.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-21 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update for November-December-January 2025-2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22313-global-seasonal-climate-update-for-november-december-january-2025-2026.md) | +3.8% | -1.0% |

## Sources

- elnino.news: https://elnino.news/news/cpc-november-2-enso-deck-nino12-4-6c/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.