# Analyst: Uncertainty dominates milk price outlook | Capital Press

> Rabobank analysts expect milk production growth in major exporting regions to slow to under 0.5 percent in the first half of 2019, which should lift prices somewhat. They forecast at most a $1 per hundredweight rise in the 2019 Class III average to $15.55, while citing Brexit, South American instability and US trade wars as risks.

- Date: 2019-01-04 · published 2019-01-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/7671-analyst-uncertainty-dominates-milk-price-outlook-capital-press
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

Slowing milk supply growth and a China import rebound point to a modest recovery in dairy prices, but trade uncertainty limits the upside for dairy demand.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2024-04-03 | [GDT bounce-back underpins milk price](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6736-gdt-bounce-back-underpins-milk-price.md) | -4.7% | -5.0% |
| MILK | 2016-08-02 | [Dairy product prices jump as global milk output eases \| BusinessDesk](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6032-dairy-product-prices-jump-as-global-milk-output-eases-businessdesk.md) | +12.3% | +10.9% |
| MILK | 2016-08-02 | [Milk prices lift as dairy commodity markets rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6034-milk-prices-lift-as-dairy-commodity-markets-rally.md) | +12.3% | +10.9% |
| MILK | 2018-11-27 | [Dairy outlook mixed; recovery may hinge on trade deal with China -  \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62052-dairy-outlook-mixed-recovery-may-hinge-on-trade-deal-with-china-ag-proud.md) | -0.1% | -4.4% |
| MILK | 2017-03-07 | [Dairy producers buying cheese to bolster milk prices - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72156-dairy-producers-buying-cheese-to-bolster-milk-prices-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -1.3% | -0.5% |

## Sources

- capitalpress.com: https://capitalpress.com/2019/01/04/analyst-uncertainty-dominates-milk-price-outlook/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.