# Folk weather rule for November: what it means for the weather in NRW

> A German folk saying holds that a warm, clear November is a bad omen for the following harvest. The article explains the reasoning, linking mild dry weather to delayed dormancy and poor winter soil moisture in North Rhine-Westphalia.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-03T00:15:45.469Z
- Category: weather · region Germany · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/76517-folk-weather-rule-for-november-what-it-means-for-the-weather-in-nrw
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

This is a seasonal folk saying with no measurable supply signal for feed commodities.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2017-08-14 | [What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? \| The Weather Channel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69375-what-does-lack-of-el-nino-la-nina-mean-for-winter-the-weather-channel.md) | -2.0% | -4.4% |
| CORN | 2026-05-01 | ["Super” El Niño Talk Grows: What It Means for U.S. Farmers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19634-super-el-nino-talk-grows-what-it-means-for-u-s-farmers.md) | -1.4% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2024-06-25 | [What does the weather hold for 2024 crops?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29659-what-does-the-weather-hold-for-2024-crops.md) | -4.9% | -2.5% |
| CORN | 2024-10-10 | [US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november.md) | -2.6% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2021-10-25 | [November and Winter Weather Outlooks for 2021 \| Integrated Crop Management](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44468-november-and-winter-weather-outlooks-for-2021-integrated-crop-management.md) | +3.5% | +9.0% |
| SOY | 2024-06-25 | [What does the weather hold for 2024 crops?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29659-what-does-the-weather-hold-for-2024-crops.md) | -1.3% | -4.9% |
| SOY | 2024-10-10 | [US forecaster sees 60% chance of La Niña weather in September-November](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27778-us-forecaster-sees-60-chance-of-la-nina-weather-in-september-november.md) | -3.9% | -2.5% |
| SOY | 2018-07-25 | [A change in the weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63939-a-change-in-the-weather.md) | +5.3% | +1.9% |

## Sources

- wa.de: https://www.wa.de/nordrhein-westfalen/bauernregel-im-november-was-sie-fuer-das-wetter-in-nrw-bedeutet-zr-94568400.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.