# Rosario Grain Exchange raises Argentine wheat production estimate to 23.8 million tonnes

> The Rosario Grain Exchange raised its estimate for Argentina's wheat crop from 21 to 23.8 million tonnes. Harvest was 6.7% complete, with an average yield of 21.3 quintals per hectare, above the previous season at the same date. The exchange linked the upgrade to better yield prospects and more supply for coming months.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-02T21:20:30.611Z
- Category: report · region Argentina · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/76135-rosario-grain-exchange-raises-argentine-wheat-production-estimate-to-23-8
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Argentine crop adds Southern Hemisphere wheat supply during a period of Black Sea uncertainty, which is bearish for wheat export prices and feed-grain alternatives.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-07-22 | [AAFC raises wheat, canola production estimates \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40451-aafc-raises-wheat-canola-production-estimates-farmtario.md) | -10.2% | -1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-01 | [Australia raises wheat harvest estimate by nearly two million tonnes - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21469-australia-raises-wheat-harvest-estimate-by-nearly-two-million-tonnes-agcanada.md) | +1.9% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2021-12-21 | [Argentine grain production rebounds \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14067-argentine-grain-production-rebounds-the-land-nsw.md) | +0.1% | +7.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-28 | [Strong production seen for Argentina corn, wheat \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/125-strong-production-seen-for-argentina-corn-wheat-world-grain.md) | +0.2% | — |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-11 | [Argentina grain exchange raises soybean crop forecast as harvest progresses](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13793-argentina-grain-exchange-raises-soybean-crop-forecast-as-harvest-progresses.md) | +4.1% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- mercado.com.ar: https://mercado.com.ar/economia-y-politica/la-bolsa-de-rosario-elevo-a-238-millones-de-toneladas-la-produccion-de-trigo
- ellitoral.com: https://www.ellitoral.com/campolitoral/bolsadecomercioderosario-bolsaderosario-trigoargentino-cosecha-trigo-marnegro-cebada-usda_0_DbnIKlBTFG.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.