# Ghana faces 96% risk of very strong El Niño as drought threatens food production and hydropower - African Sustainability Matters

> Ghana's meteorological agency puts the probability of a very strong El Niño between November 2026 and January 2027 at about 96%. Hotter, drier conditions are expected from November through April, with heat stress in the north from February to April. The agency warns that risks to crops, water supply, and hydropower are elevated but not certain.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-02T21:19:12.304Z
- Category: weather · region Ghana · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/76111-ghana-faces-96-risk-of-very-strong-el-nino-as-drought-threatens-food-production
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Drought in Ghana could cut local maize and food crop output and raise import needs in West Africa. Hydropower shortfalls could also raise electricity costs for farmers and feed millers.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-07-28 | [El Niño threatens agricultural production and food security across the continent; FAO advocates for timely anticipatory action](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18241-el-nino-threatens-agricultural-production-and-food-security-across-the.md) | -1.7% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2018-07-27 | [Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63941-does-the-el-nino-southern-oscillation-actually-matter-for-food-security-state.md) | +0.9% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2019-10-29 | [Midwestern Drought Threatens Crops, Food Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56414-midwestern-drought-threatens-crops-food-prices.md) | +2.7% | +1.1% |
| CORN | 2026-06-08 | [Agricultural production threatened by combination of El Niño and high input prices - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18726-agricultural-production-threatened-by-combination-of-el-nino-and-high-input.md) | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| CORN | 2022-06-07 | [Agricultural production threatened by combination of drought and high input prices in many countries - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40864-agricultural-production-threatened-by-combination-of-drought-and-high-input.md) | -0.2% | +2.1% |
| SOY | 2018-07-27 | [Does the El Niño Southern Oscillation Actually Matter for Food Security? – State of the Planet](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63941-does-the-el-nino-southern-oscillation-actually-matter-for-food-security-state.md) | +2.5% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2022-06-07 | [Agricultural production threatened by combination of drought and high input prices in many countries - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40864-agricultural-production-threatened-by-combination-of-drought-and-high-input.md) | +0.5% | -7.0% |
| SOY | 2025-01-16 | [EU soybean meal prices rise as Argentina's drought impacts production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26587-eu-soybean-meal-prices-rise-as-argentina-s-drought-impacts-production.md) | +2.2% | -1.2% |

## Sources

- africasustainabilitymatters.com: https://africasustainabilitymatters.com/ghana-faces-96-risk-of-very-strong-el-nino-as-drought-threatens-food-production-and-hydropower/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.