# Europe loses harvest, Ukraine loses position in EU market

> Coceral estimates EU grain production will fall more than 9% this year, the steepest drop since the early 2000s, due to heat, fertilizer problems and Black Sea tensions. The EU's imports are rising, with USDA forecasting the bloc's import needs at a four-year high, while Ukraine's exports to the EU stalled and the US overtook it as a supplier.

- Date: 2026-11-01 · published 2026-11-02T19:41:05.861Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/75720-europe-loses-harvest-ukraine-loses-position-in-eu-market
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller EU harvest and rising import demand support wheat and corn prices, while Ukraine's loss of EU market share shifts flows toward US suppliers.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-08-26 | [Coceral cuts EU grain harvest 2020 again market report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51572-coceral-cuts-eu-grain-harvest-2020-again-market-report.md) | -1.7% | +7.4% |
| WHEAT | 2016-11-01 | [EU Commission: EU grain harvest small - supply close](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73795-eu-commission-eu-grain-harvest-small-supply-close.md) | +0.2% | -3.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-09-29 | [COCERAL lowers forecast for EU grain harvest \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39524-coceral-lowers-forecast-for-eu-grain-harvest-miller-magazine.md) | +0.7% | -10.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-22 | [European grain harvest in 2026 expected to be down 9% year on year \| AGENCE EUROPE](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17426-european-grain-harvest-in-2026-expected-to-be-down-9-year-on-year-agence-europe.md) | -0.7% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-26 | [EU and UK Grain Harvest 2026: Decrease in Volumes Expected](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21434-eu-and-uk-grain-harvest-2026-decrease-in-volumes-expected.md) | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2020-09-25 | [GB harvest 2020 nears completion: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51179-gb-harvest-2020-nears-completion-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +3.9% | +8.6% |
| CORN | 2016-11-01 | [EU Commission: EU grain harvest small - supply close](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73795-eu-commission-eu-grain-harvest-small-supply-close.md) | +1.9% | -4.3% |
| CORN | 2022-09-29 | [COCERAL lowers forecast for EU grain harvest \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39524-coceral-lowers-forecast-for-eu-grain-harvest-miller-magazine.md) | +1.7% | +4.0% |

## Sources

- nauu.kiev.ua: https://nauu.kiev.ua/n/yevropa-vtrachaie-vrozhai-ukraina-pozitsii-na-rynku-yes/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.