# Russian Grain Harvest to Fall 4.5 Mt Below Last Year

> Rusagrotrans forecasts Russia's 2026 wheat crop at 89.8 million tonnes, 1.2 million below last year but still among the top five results. Barley is forecast at 19.2 million tonnes and corn at 16.9 million. The total grain and pulse harvest is estimated at 137.4 million tonnes, 4.5 million lower.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-02T19:40:36.231Z
- Category: report · region Russia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/75713-russian-grain-harvest-to-fall-4-5-mt-below-last-year
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A slightly smaller Russian crop than last year provides modest support, but ample supply and falling export prices limit the price impact.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-10-19 | [Bumper grain harvest expected again this year](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44501-bumper-grain-harvest-expected-again-this-year.md) | +0.7% | +9.2% |
| WHEAT | 2022-01-03 | [CBH receives 20.4Mt in harvest to date - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43200-cbh-receives-20-4mt-in-harvest-to-date-grain-central.md) | -0.4% | +9.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-26 | [EU's wheat harvest yields similar to the average of the last 5 years](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29702-eu-s-wheat-harvest-yields-similar-to-the-average-of-the-last-5-years.md) | -2.0% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-02-23 | [Late rain pushes growth in grain harvest \| Farm Weekly \| WA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66468-late-rain-pushes-growth-in-grain-harvest-farm-weekly-wa.md) | +1.9% | +1.2% |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-30 | [World grain output expected to fall as record 2016 harvest weighs on prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72022-world-grain-output-expected-to-fall-as-record-2016-harvest-weighs-on-prices.md) | +0.4% | +1.2% |
| CORN | 2017-03-30 | [World grain output expected to fall as record 2016 harvest weighs on prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72022-world-grain-output-expected-to-fall-as-record-2016-harvest-weighs-on-prices.md) | +0.9% | +0.8% |
| CORN | 2022-09-30 | [UPDATE 1-U.S. Wheat Harvest Falls Below Forecasts; Prices Rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39630-update-1-u-s-wheat-harvest-falls-below-forecasts-prices-rally.md) | +1.0% | +3.8% |
| CORN | 2019-12-04 | [USDA report: Grain, hay prices up during fall - Mid-West Farm Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55650-usda-report-grain-hay-prices-up-during-fall-mid-west-farm-report.md) | -3.9% | +1.5% |

## Sources

- agroobzor.ru: https://agroobzor.ru/news/urozhaj-zernovykh-v-rossii-budet-nizhe-proshlogodnego-na-4-5-mln-tonn.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.