# Rusagrotrans Forecasts Russian Wheat Exports via Baltic Ports Up 5.8x to 3.9 Mt in July-October

> Rusagrotrans estimates Russian wheat exports through Baltic ports in July-October at 3.93 million tonnes, 5.8 times the prior year. The Baltic share rises from 4% to 38.3%, reaching about 65% in October. Total Russian wheat exports for July-October are projected at 10.3 million tonnes versus 16.9 million a year earlier.

- Date: 2026-11-01 · published 2026-11-02T19:40:35.935Z
- Category: logistics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/75710-rusagrotrans-forecasts-russian-wheat-exports-via-baltic-ports-up-5-8x-to-3-9-mt
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Ocean Grain Freight](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OCEANFRT.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp drop in Black Sea-routed wheat exports tightens available supply for importers, while the shift to Baltic ports is costly and limited by terminal capacity.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- OCEANFRT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-06-28 | [Russia Taps Smaller Ports to Keep Up Record Wheat Export Pace - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64375-russia-taps-smaller-ports-to-keep-up-record-wheat-export-pace-bloomberg.md) | -4.2% | +0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-04 | [Russia’s grain exports fell 38% in July due to port attacks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12809-russia-s-grain-exports-fell-38-in-july-due-to-port-attacks.md) | +0.1% | +5.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-15 | [Grain transshipment at Russian ports fell by more than 50% in 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14208-grain-transshipment-at-russian-ports-fell-by-more-than-50-in-2025.md) | -3.9% | -3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-31 | [Russian grain exports shift to Baltic as Black Sea trade disrupted \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14089-russian-grain-exports-shift-to-baltic-as-black-sea-trade-disrupted-reuters.md) | +2.4% | +6.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-23 | [Even an elevenfold increase in Baltic port shipments fails to offset Russia’s loss of Black Sea export capacity](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14077-even-an-elevenfold-increase-in-baltic-port-shipments-fails-to-offset-russia-s.md) | -0.6% | — |

## Sources

- soyanews.info: https://soyanews.info/news/rusagrotrans-_prognoziruet_rost_eksporta_pshenitsy_cherez_porty_baltiki_v_iyule-oktyabre_v_5-8_raza_do_3-9_mln_t.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.