# If Winter Comes, Will It Be Cold Enough? El Niño To Decide

> ETV Bharat reports that El Niño is expected to bring unusually warm conditions to India through February 2027. It says kharif paddy and pulses have already been damaged, and rabi wheat and oilseeds are at risk.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-02T12:12:26.310Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/75421-if-winter-comes-will-it-be-cold-enough-el-nino-to-decide
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Expected losses in Indian rabi wheat and oilseeds could tighten supplies and support wheat and related oilseed-based feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-10 | [El Niño pattern could emerge by 2018-19 winter: U.S. forecaster](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64959-el-nino-pattern-could-emerge-by-2018-19-winter-u-s-forecaster.md) | -1.0% | +2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2022-10-21 | [La Nina-Enhanced Drought Brings Slow Start to Winter Wheat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39024-la-nina-enhanced-drought-brings-slow-start-to-winter-wheat.md) | -0.4% | +1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2017-05-19 | [El Niño again? This is why it’s hard to tell. \| Climate Change](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70915-el-nino-again-this-is-why-it-s-hard-to-tell-climate-change.md) | +3.0% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-17 | [Winter Wheat Futures Bulls Come to Life. Here’s Why More Price Upside Is Possible.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26090-winter-wheat-futures-bulls-come-to-life-here-s-why-more-price-upside-is-possible.md) | +1.1% | -3.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-09-28 | [Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33997-risks-to-global-food-commodity-prices-from-el-nino.md) | -5.3% | -2.5% |

## Sources

- etvbharat.com: https://www.etvbharat.com/en/bharat/if-winter-comes-will-it-be-cold-enough-el-nino-to-decide-enn26110202315

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.