# U.S. rice crop shrinks; global prices set to firm up

> USDA's October WASDE projects all-rice production at 157.7 million cwt, down 24% from last year, with harvested acres down about 25%. Ending stocks are forecast at 40 million cwt and the season-average price at $15.20/cwt, up from $12.40.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-02T09:06:41.934Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/75203-u-s-rice-crop-shrinks-global-prices-set-to-firm-up
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

A tighter U.S. stocks-to-use ratio supports domestic rice prices and adds upside pressure on global quotes given El Niño and Middle East supply concerns.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2023-08-10 | [Global rice prices soar close to 12-year highs, according to UN FAO](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34649-global-rice-prices-soar-close-to-12-year-highs-according-to-un-fao.md) | -3.2% | +1.2% |
| RICE | 2023-04-19 | [Global rice shortage is set to be the biggest in 20 years](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36316-global-rice-shortage-is-set-to-be-the-biggest-in-20-years.md) | -2.5% | +0.4% |
| RICE | 2026-05-08 | [Global food prices up for third straight month \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10152-global-food-prices-up-for-third-straight-month-world-grain.md) | +6.4% | +6.3% |
| RICE | 2024-01-05 | [Global food prices fell in 2023 compared to 2022, except for sugar and rice \| PBS News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6743-global-food-prices-fell-in-2023-compared-to-2022-except-for-sugar-and-rice-pbs.md) | +1.4% | +8.9% |
| RICE | 2026-05-20 | [Rice Prices Extend Rally to One-Year High as Crop Concerns Mount](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19303-rice-prices-extend-rally-to-one-year-high-as-crop-concerns-mount.md) | -1.3% | -8.0% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/rice/smaller-u-s-rice-crop-drives-long-grain-prices-higher-this-year

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.