# SA wheat harvest remains low for the 2026-27 season, and reliance on imports will increase

> South Africa's winter wheat harvest is underway, led by the Western Cape, with early commercial deliveries reported since October. The Crop Estimates Committee cut the 2026-27 wheat estimate by 1% to 1.79 million tonnes, down 6% year on year and the lowest in about eight years, with national yields around 3.67 t/ha, also the lowest in eight years.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-02T06:05:29.856Z
- Category: weather · region South Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/74872-sa-wheat-harvest-remains-low-for-the-2026-27-season-and-reliance-on-imports
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller domestic crop raises South Africa's reliance on wheat imports, supporting import demand and世界 wheat export flows from Black Sea and other origins. The effect on global prices is modest given South Africa's size.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2023-02-14 | [Wheat prices are supported by forecasts of a reduced harvest next season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37374-wheat-prices-are-supported-by-forecasts-of-a-reduced-harvest-next-season.md) | -0.9% | -10.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-03-26 | [Iran war lifts wheat, but will the rally hold through harvest?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20205-iran-war-lifts-wheat-but-will-the-rally-hold-through-harvest.md) | -0.6% | +7.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-06-06 | [Wheat prices are recovering amid increased demand and lower crop forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35513-wheat-prices-are-recovering-amid-increased-demand-and-lower-crop-forecasts.md) | -3.1% | +3.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-05-30 | [Early U.S. winter wheat harvest supports low-protein fears - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71031-early-u-s-winter-wheat-harvest-supports-low-protein-fears-grainews.md) | -1.7% | +3.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-05-15 | [The price of wheat in the United States and Europe has increased dramatically](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12091-the-price-of-wheat-in-the-united-states-and-europe-has-increased-dramatically.md) | +8.5% | +15.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-14 | [French wheat and barley harvesting remains slow after wet spell](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34519-french-wheat-and-barley-harvesting-remains-slow-after-wet-spell.md) | -0.5% | -7.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-02 | [Analysts forecast a decrease in wheat production in Australia in the new season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25087-analysts-forecast-a-decrease-in-wheat-production-in-australia-in-the-new-season.md) | -0.8% | +1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2023-02-14 | [Wheat prices are supported by forecasts of a reduced harvest next season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37374-wheat-prices-are-supported-by-forecasts-of-a-reduced-harvest-next-season.md) | -1.2% | -7.6% |

## Sources

- farmingportal.co.za: https://farmingportal.co.za/index.php/all-agri-news/news-of-the-day/13061-sa-wheat-harvest-remains-low-for-the-2026-27-season-and-reliance-on-imports-will-increase
- farmingportal.co.za: https://www.farmingportal.co.za/index.php/all-agri-news/news-of-the-day/13061-sa-wheat-harvest-remains-low-for-the-2026-27-season-and-reliance-on-imports-will-increase

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.