# ClimateWatch: NOVEMBER outlook, El Niño & IOD | WeatherWatch - New Zealand's Weather Data & Alerts Authority

> WeatherWatch says El Niño will peak in November and December, with a weak positive Indian Ocean Dipole possibly drying parts of Australia. Spring rains are still heavy across southern and eastern Australia and New Zealand's West Coast, and November is expected to bring cold fronts and windy westerlies.

- Date: 2026-11-02 · published 2026-11-02T03:13:14.458Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/74735-climatewatch-november-outlook-el-nino-and-iod-weatherwatch-new-zealand-s
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The outlook is general climate commentary with no clear crop impact or price signal for feed commodities, so it has limited market relevance.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-08-30 | [Seasonal climate outlook September - November 2018 \| Earth Sciences New Zealand \| NIWA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63453-seasonal-climate-outlook-september-november-2018-earth-sciences-new-zealand-niwa.md) | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2017-08-30 | [Seasonal climate outlook: September 2017 - November 2017 \| Earth Sciences New Zealand \| NIWA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69372-seasonal-climate-outlook-september-2017-november-2017-earth-sciences-new.md) | +2.3% | +3.1% |
| CORN | 2017-04-06 | [El Niño Outlook for April 2017 \| WeatherTiger](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71427-el-nino-outlook-for-april-2017-weathertiger.md) | +0.6% | -0.3% |
| CORN | 2018-10-19 | [Southwest Climate Outlook El Niño Tracker - October 2018 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62474-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2018-climas.md) | -2.9% | -6.2% |
| CORN | 2020-04-30 | [Southwest Climate Outlook - El Niño Tracker - April 2020 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53555-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-april-2020-climas.md) | +1.9% | +2.3% |
| SOY | 2018-08-30 | [Seasonal climate outlook September - November 2018 \| Earth Sciences New Zealand \| NIWA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63453-seasonal-climate-outlook-september-november-2018-earth-sciences-new-zealand-niwa.md) | +0.4% | +3.9% |
| SOY | 2017-04-06 | [El Niño Outlook for April 2017 \| WeatherTiger](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71427-el-nino-outlook-for-april-2017-weathertiger.md) | +0.4% | +2.2% |
| SOY | 2018-10-19 | [Southwest Climate Outlook El Niño Tracker - October 2018 \| CLIMAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62474-southwest-climate-outlook-el-nino-tracker-october-2018-climas.md) | -2.5% | +2.9% |

## Sources

- weatherwatch.co.nz: https://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/climatewatch-november-outlook-el-nino-iod

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.