# ExportPlanning - The March of the Epidemic in Brazil: What Prospects for the Real? - ExportPlanning

> The Brazilian real, the worst-performing floating EM currency in 2020, has recovered about 10% against the dollar over the last two weeks, returning to 5.3 per dollar from above 5.9. The article notes that the Covid-19 epidemic is accelerating sharply in Brazil and that capital flight and falling oil prices have weighed on the currency. Dollar weakness and some EM recovery have supported the real's rebound.

- Date: 2020-05-29 · published 2020-05-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/7446-exportplanning-the-march-of-the-epidemic-in-brazil-what-prospects-for-the-real
- Commodities: [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

The epidemic's spread weighs on Brazilian growth and feed demand, but the stronger real raises the local cost of Brazilian exports, which can marginally support global feed ingredient prices.

## Read by commodity

- USDBRL: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| USDBRL | 2020-05-27 | 5 | -7.5% | -4.3 | Describes the real's roughly 10% rebound from above 5.9 to about 5.3 per dollar over two weeks, which matches the -7.5% USD/BRL move, attributing it to dollar weakness and an EM recovery; it is dated after the window but describes the same move. |

## Sources

- exportplanning.com: https://www.exportplanning.com/en/magazine/article/2020/05/29/the-march-of-the-epidemic-in-brazil/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.