# Oat prices surge as Canadian output drops following delayed harvest - The Globe and Mail

> Canada's oat production is forecast to fall 13% to 2.976 million tonnes after rain and snow delayed harvests across the Prairies. Quality has declined, pushing more oats into livestock feed, and prices have rebounded from a seven-year low in a strong harvest-season rally.

- Date: 2016-11-25 · published 2016-11-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/73900-oat-prices-surge-as-canadian-output-drops-following-delayed-harvest-the-globe
- Commodities: [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Canada is the world's largest oat exporter and sends over 90% of its exports to the US, so a smaller, lower-quality crop tightens supply for food and feed buyers. Oat prices are likely to stay firm while the harvest backlog persists.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2026-09-25 | [Oat futures climb nearly $1 as Canadian production drops 20%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17516-oat-futures-climb-nearly-1-as-canadian-production-drops-20.md) | -2.8% | -10.9% |
| OATS | 2016-11-25 | [Granola lovers beware: Oat costs jump as Canada output drops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73901-granola-lovers-beware-oat-costs-jump-as-canada-output-drops.md) | -7.6% | +0.6% |
| OATS | 2021-12-22 | [Why coffee and oat prices are rising faster than oil’s](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43654-why-coffee-and-oat-prices-are-rising-faster-than-oil-s.md) | +4.3% | -3.9% |
| OATS | 2021-10-12 | [Drought pinches oat crops — and food makers that rely on them](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44609-drought-pinches-oat-crops-and-food-makers-that-rely-on-them.md) | -1.6% | +7.5% |
| OATS | 2021-11-04 | [US oat prices soar as supply dips due to drought, demand \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44107-us-oat-prices-soar-as-supply-dips-due-to-drought-demand-world-grain.md) | -0.9% | -0.8% |

## Sources

- theglobeandmail.com: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/oat-prices-surge-as-canadian-output-drops-following-delayed-harvest/article33055061/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.