# EU Commission: EU grain harvest small - supply close

> The European Commission's October 16 estimate puts the EU-28 2016/17 cereal harvest at about 295 million tonnes, roughly 5 million less than its prior month's estimate and 16 million below last year. Winter wheat fell from 151 to 135 million tonnes, with France down about 30% due to adverse weather.

- Date: 2016-11-01 · published 2016-11-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/73795-eu-commission-eu-grain-harvest-small-supply-close
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller EU crop and reduced wheat exports (cut to 36.6 million tonnes) tighten European supply and can support wheat prices and feed grain alternatives for buyers.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2016-12-26 | [European Commission: EU cereals supply balance is not](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73395-european-commission-eu-cereals-supply-balance-is-not.md) | +0.2% | +2.5% |
| WHEAT | 2020-08-26 | [Coceral cuts EU grain harvest 2020 again market report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51572-coceral-cuts-eu-grain-harvest-2020-again-market-report.md) | -1.7% | +7.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-27 | [European Commission estimates significantly lower wheat harvest - Grains & Commodities Analysis \| Boerenbusiness. Nl](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20109-european-commission-estimates-significantly-lower-wheat-harvest-grains-and.md) | -0.3% | +0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-09-29 | [COCERAL lowers forecast for EU grain harvest \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39524-coceral-lowers-forecast-for-eu-grain-harvest-miller-magazine.md) | +0.7% | -10.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-26 | [EU and UK Grain Harvest 2026: Decrease in Volumes Expected](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21434-eu-and-uk-grain-harvest-2026-decrease-in-volumes-expected.md) | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2016-12-26 | [European Commission: EU cereals supply balance is not](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73395-european-commission-eu-cereals-supply-balance-is-not.md) | +0.4% | +4.6% |
| CORN | 2020-09-25 | [GB harvest 2020 nears completion: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51179-gb-harvest-2020-nears-completion-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +3.9% | +8.6% |
| CORN | 2022-09-29 | [COCERAL lowers forecast for EU grain harvest \| Miller Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39524-coceral-lowers-forecast-for-eu-grain-harvest-miller-magazine.md) | +1.7% | +4.0% |

## Sources

- zmp.de: https://www.zmp.de/en/futures/grains/news/market-report-eu-commission-eu-grain-harvest-small-supply-close-prices-upper

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.