# La Niña still present, with a transition to ENSO-neutral favoured during Jan-Mar 2017

> The Australian Bureau of Meteorology's ENSO update says La Niña conditions persisted through November 2016 with weak negative sea surface temperatures across the central and eastern Pacific. Models favour a transition to ENSO-neutral conditions during January to March 2017. La Niña is expected to affect US temperature and precipitation over the coming months.

- Date: 2016-12-09 · published 2016-12-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/73404-la-nina-still-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-favoured-during-jan-mar
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Expected weakening of La Niña lowers the odds of drought in key South American and US growing regions, which tends to ease weather-driven price support for feed grains and oilseeds.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-12-11 | [La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21415-la-nina-to-fade-early-next-year-neutral-pacific-conditions-likely-u-s.md) | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| CORN | 2025-08-14 | [Brief La Niña expected in fall 2025 before ENSO neutral returns, says US CPC \| GMA News Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23243-brief-la-nina-expected-in-fall-2025-before-enso-neutral-returns-says-us-cpc-gma.md) | +1.1% | +4.8% |
| CORN | 2025-07-10 | [Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23660-climate-prediction-center-sees-56-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-in-august.md) | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| CORN | 2026-01-08 | [US CPC sees 75% chance of La Nina transition by early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20952-us-cpc-sees-75-chance-of-la-nina-transition-by-early-2026-reuters.md) | -3.4% | -2.0% |
| CORN | 2021-10-14 | [Analyst Insight: La Niña could keep domestic wheat prices supported going into 2022 \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44470-analyst-insight-la-nina-could-keep-domestic-wheat-prices-supported-going-into.md) | +3.2% | +13.8% |
| SOY | 2025-12-11 | [La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21415-la-nina-to-fade-early-next-year-neutral-pacific-conditions-likely-u-s.md) | -3.0% | -3.9% |
| SOY | 2025-08-14 | [Brief La Niña expected in fall 2025 before ENSO neutral returns, says US CPC \| GMA News Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23243-brief-la-nina-expected-in-fall-2025-before-enso-neutral-returns-says-us-cpc-gma.md) | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| SOY | 2025-07-10 | [Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23660-climate-prediction-center-sees-56-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-in-august.md) | +0.1% | -5.0% |

## Sources

- comunicaffe.com: https://www.comunicaffe.com/la-nina-present-enso-neutral-jan-mar/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.