# New models suggest U.S. harvests will suffer from climate change | University of Chicago News

> University of Chicago news reports on a study of simulated US crop yields showing that rising temperatures pose substantial risk to wheat, maize and soybean. Researchers found irrigation can offset some losses only where water is sufficient, and warn of yield losses up to 20% for wheat by 2100 without emission cuts.

- Date: 2017-01-27 · published 2017-01-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/72839-new-models-suggest-u-s-harvests-will-suffer-from-climate-change-university-of
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

The long-run yield risk from warming is a structural consideration for feed grain supply, but it does not change near-term supply and demand enough to move prices meaningfully.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2017-04-04 | [A Concrete Way To See How Climate Change Will Affect Farming - Modern Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71343-a-concrete-way-to-see-how-climate-change-will-affect-farming-modern-farmer.md) | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| CORN | 2024-03-04 | [ERS Research Models Future Effects of Climate Change on Corn and Soybean Yields, Production, and Exports \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13199-ers-research-models-future-effects-of-climate-change-on-corn-and-soybean-yields.md) | +5.1% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2018-08-15 | [Warm Nights & High Yields of Corn: Oil & Water? (Purdue University)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63399-warm-nights-and-high-yields-of-corn-oil-and-water-purdue-university.md) | -0.6% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2025-03-25 | [PR 2024/25 Harvest: harvest progresses and climate challenges crops - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13509-pr-2024-25-harvest-harvest-progresses-and-climate-challenges-crops-cultivar.md) | -1.5% | +3.1% |
| CORN | 2019-02-18 | [UMD Researchers and Alums Pioneer Innovative New Agricultural Productivity Analyses with Insight into Climate Change \| College of Agriculture & Natural Resources at UMD](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60453-umd-researchers-and-alums-pioneer-innovative-new-agricultural-productivity.md) | +0.0% | -0.2% |
| SOY | 2024-03-04 | [ERS Research Models Future Effects of Climate Change on Corn and Soybean Yields, Production, and Exports \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13199-ers-research-models-future-effects-of-climate-change-on-corn-and-soybean-yields.md) | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| SOY | 2025-03-25 | [PR 2024/25 Harvest: harvest progresses and climate challenges crops - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13509-pr-2024-25-harvest-harvest-progresses-and-climate-challenges-crops-cultivar.md) | +0.7% | +2.8% |
| SOY | 2019-02-18 | [UMD Researchers and Alums Pioneer Innovative New Agricultural Productivity Analyses with Insight into Climate Change \| College of Agriculture & Natural Resources at UMD](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60453-umd-researchers-and-alums-pioneer-innovative-new-agricultural-productivity.md) | +0.5% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- news.uchicago.edu: https://news.uchicago.edu/story/new-models-suggest-us-harvests-will-suffer-climate-change

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.