# From near $1 to tariff war winner, euro confounds its naysayers

> The euro hit a three-year high above $1.14 after Trump paused higher tariffs for 90 days, producing its biggest one-day jump since 2015. The rally built on earlier gains that followed Germany's announced spending plan.

- Date: 2025-04-11 · published 2025-04-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/7245-from-near-1-to-tariff-war-winner-euro-confounds-its-naysayers
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

A weaker dollar and stronger euro shift trade-currency economics for US feed exports and European import demand. A firmer euro can make US commodities cheaper for euro buyers, which supports export demand.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2025-04-14 | 5 | +4.1% | 4.4 | Trump's 90-day tariff pause produced the euro's biggest one-day jump since 2015 and took it above $1.14, directly driving the 5-day gain (sentiment/currency). |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2025-04-04 | [Euro (USD/EUR) Emerges as Unlikely Winner From Trump’s Trade Tariff Shock - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7248-euro-usd-eur-emerges-as-unlikely-winner-from-trump-s-trade-tariff-shock.md) | +0.3% | -1.3% |
| DXY | 2025-03-05 | [Euro hits four-month peak; US dollar languishes on tariff-driven fears](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5799-euro-hits-four-month-peak-us-dollar-languishes-on-tariff-driven-fears.md) | -1.5% | -1.2% |
| DXY | 2025-07-02 | [U.S. dollar to stay under pressure from tariff, debt and rate cut expectations](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23958-u-s-dollar-to-stay-under-pressure-from-tariff-debt-and-rate-cut-expectations.md) | +0.3% | +1.7% |
| DXY | 2025-06-27 | [Dollar hovers near 3-1/2-year low with market focus on US rate cuts, euro area inflation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24439-dollar-hovers-near-3-1-2-year-low-with-market-focus-on-us-rate-cuts-euro-area.md) | -0.3% | +0.3% |
| DXY | 2024-08-14 | [Euro Nears Year’s High on Bet Fed Will Cut Rates Faster Than ECB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29016-euro-nears-year-s-high-on-bet-fed-will-cut-rates-faster-than-ecb.md) | -1.0% | -0.2% |
| EURUSD | 2025-04-04 | [Euro (USD/EUR) Emerges as Unlikely Winner From Trump’s Trade Tariff Shock - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7248-euro-usd-eur-emerges-as-unlikely-winner-from-trump-s-trade-tariff-shock.md) | +1.3% | +2.1% |
| EURUSD | 2025-03-05 | [Euro hits four-month peak; US dollar languishes on tariff-driven fears](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5799-euro-hits-four-month-peak-us-dollar-languishes-on-tariff-driven-fears.md) | +3.7% | +2.5% |
| EURUSD | 2025-06-27 | [Dollar hovers near 3-1/2-year low with market focus on US rate cuts, euro area inflation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24439-dollar-hovers-near-3-1-2-year-low-with-market-focus-on-us-rate-cuts-euro-area.md) | +0.3% | +0.1% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/near-1-tariff-war-winner-euro-confounds-its-naysayers-2025-04-11/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.