# Outlook for March, Spring, and Summer | Illinois State Climatologist | Illinois State Water Survey | Prairie Research Institute

> The Illinois State Climatologist reports that the Pacific has moved from La Niña to ENSO-neutral and that some models show a weak El Niño by summer. The National Weather Service outlook gives Illinois equal chances for summer temperature and precipitation, a shift from earlier forecasts of a warmer summer.

- Date: 2017-02-16 · published 2017-02-16T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/72417-outlook-for-march-spring-and-summer-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois-state
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A neutral-to-mild summer outlook for Illinois reduces the chance of a heat-driven Corn Belt drought premium, which is mildly bearish for corn and soybean prices.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2017-11-17 | [La Nina and New Winter/Spring Outlooks \| Illinois State Climatologist \| Illinois State Water Survey \| Prairie Research Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67915-la-nina-and-new-winter-spring-outlooks-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois.md) | +0.8% | +6.3% |
| CORN | 2024-09-12 | [Drought is Back in Illinois \| Illinois State Climatologist \| Illinois State Water Survey \| Prairie Research Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13154-drought-is-back-in-illinois-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois-state-water.md) | +4.9% | +5.1% |
| CORN | 2025-09-11 | [Drought is Intensifying in Illinois \| Illinois State Climatologist \| Illinois State Water Survey \| Prairie Research Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13060-drought-is-intensifying-in-illinois-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois-state.md) | +6.1% | +4.5% |
| CORN | 2020-09-22 | [La Niña Conditions for Fall & Winter \| Illinois State Climatologist \| Illinois State Water Survey \| Prairie Research Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51045-la-nina-conditions-for-fall-and-winter-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois.md) | +0.2% | +5.8% |
| CORN | 2018-02-15 | [Outlook for Spring and Summer from NWS – Illinois State Climatologist](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66348-outlook-for-spring-and-summer-from-nws-illinois-state-climatologist.md) | -0.2% | +4.5% |
| SOY | 2017-11-17 | [La Nina and New Winter/Spring Outlooks \| Illinois State Climatologist \| Illinois State Water Survey \| Prairie Research Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67915-la-nina-and-new-winter-spring-outlooks-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois.md) | +2.2% | -0.5% |
| SOY | 2024-09-12 | [Drought is Back in Illinois \| Illinois State Climatologist \| Illinois State Water Survey \| Prairie Research Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13154-drought-is-back-in-illinois-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois-state-water.md) | +3.5% | +4.1% |
| SOY | 2025-09-11 | [Drought is Intensifying in Illinois \| Illinois State Climatologist \| Illinois State Water Survey \| Prairie Research Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13060-drought-is-intensifying-in-illinois-illinois-state-climatologist-illinois-state.md) | +3.8% | +2.4% |

## Sources

- stateclimatologist.isws.illinois.edu: https://stateclimatologist.isws.illinois.edu/2017/02/16/outlook-for-march-spring-and-summer/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.